Toulouse vs Lille Prediction - September 3, 2026

Ligue 1FranceFull time
Toulouse
0:1
Lille
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.32Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.82price rising, opened at 3.46
Draw3.48price rising, opened at 3.38
Away1.98price falling, opened at 2.13

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25price falling, opened at 1.30
Under 1.53.92price rising, opened at 3.14
Over 2.51.84price falling, opened at 2.02
Under 2.51.97price rising, opened at 1.79
Over 3.53.19price falling, opened at 3.40
Under 3.51.35price rising, opened at 1.26
Both teams to score
Yes1.72price falling, opened at 1.79
No2.12price rising, opened at 1.94
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +0.252.13price rising, opened at 1.94
Away -0.251.72price falling, opened at 1.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Toulouse vs Lille?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Lille are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Toulouse and Lille average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.4%Projected
  2. 0-111.5%Alternative
  3. 1-29.1%
  4. 1-08.4%
  5. 0-28.4%

Top five combined: 49.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeToulousexG1.08
AwayLillexG1.47
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.8%
8.4%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
11%
12%
6.7%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
2
8.4%
9.1%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
4.1%
4.5%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.5%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.9%49.1% No
Over 1.5 72.3%27.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.9%53.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.4%74.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Toulouse win and over 2.5 goals14.9%
Toulouse win and both teams score12.7%
Lille win and over 2.5 goals26.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Toulouse or draw53.9%
Lille or draw72.1%
Either team wins73.9%
Draw no bet: Toulouse37.7%
Draw no bet: Lille62.3%
Toulouse win to nil15.2%
Lille win to nil26.1%
Team goals
Toulouse to score66.1%
Lille to score77.0%
Toulouse over 1.5 goals29.4%
Lille over 1.5 goals43.2%
Toulouse clean sheet23.0%
Lille clean sheet33.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

Toulouse: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Toulouse vs Lille
Head to Head

Head to Head

Toulouse vs Lille: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 12, 2026Toulouse0 - 4Lille
September 14, 2025Lille2 - 1Toulouse
April 12, 2025Toulouse1 - 2Lille
League Table

League Table

Ligue 1France · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330051+49
2321062+47
3321062+47
4321052+37
5321075+27
6320187+16
7312065+15
831112204
9311147-34
10310265+13
11310265+13
12310245-13
13302156-12
14302156-12
15302114-32
16301224-21
17301225-31
183003411-70
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Ligue 1 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Monaco33005149
2Paris FC32106247
3Lyon32106247
4Lille32105237
5Rennes32107527
6Strasbourg32018716
7Stade Brestois 2931206515
8Lorient31112204
9Estac Troyes311147-34
10Marseille31026513
11Lens31026513
12Angers310245-13
13Paris Saint Germain302156-12
14Le Mans302156-12
15Nice302114-32
16Le Havre301224-21
17Toulouse301225-31
18Auxerre3003411-70