Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Prediction - September 3, 2026

EkstraklasaPolandFull time
Lech Poznan
2:1
Jagiellonia
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-2

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.59price falling, opened at 1.62
Draw4.32price rising, opened at 4.25
Away5.14price rising, opened at 4.55

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price rising, opened at 1.08
Under 1.55.95price rising, opened at 5.40
Over 2.51.46price rising, opened at 1.41
Under 2.52.73price rising, opened at 2.52
Over 3.52.13price falling, opened at 2.16
Under 3.51.72price rising, opened at 1.66
Both teams to score
Yes1.52price rising, opened at 1.49
No2.53price rising, opened at 2.44
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.84price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -11.88
Away +11.93

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Lech Poznan are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Why this prediction

  • 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings ended level.
  • Lech Poznan won 3 of their last 5 matches; Jagiellonia won 3 of 5.
  • Counter signalJagiellonia average 2.0 goals per match against 1.8 for Lech Poznan.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-17.5%Projected
  2. 3-16.8%
  3. 2-26.4%Alternative
  4. 3-25.8%
  5. 1-15.5%

Top five combined: 32.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLech PoznanxG2.72
AwayJagielloniaxG1.71
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.2%
3.2%
4.4%
4.0%
2.7%
1.5%
1.1%
1
2.0%
5.5%
7.5%
6.8%
4.6%
2.5%
1.8%
2
1.7%
4.7%
6.4%
5.8%
4.0%
2.2%
1.6%
3
1.0%
2.7%
3.7%
3.3%
2.3%
1.2%
0.9%
4
0.4%
1.2%
1.6%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.4%
5
0.1%
0.4%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 76.6%23.4% No
Over 1.5 93.6%6.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 81.9%18.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 64.7%35.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Lech Poznan win and over 2.5 goals51.6%
Lech Poznan win and both teams score42.3%
Jagiellonia win and over 2.5 goals19.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals6.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Lech Poznan or draw76.9%
Jagiellonia or draw40.8%
Either team wins82.4%
Draw no bet: Lech Poznan71.9%
Draw no bet: Jagiellonia28.1%
Lech Poznan win to nil16.9%
Jagiellonia win to nil5.4%
Team goals
Lech Poznan to score93.4%
Jagiellonia to score82.0%
Lech Poznan over 1.5 goals75.6%
Jagiellonia over 1.5 goals51.1%
Lech Poznan clean sheet18.0%
Jagiellonia clean sheet6.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Today's acca

Lost

3 selections at 1.95

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Team news

Expected formations

Lech Poznan: 4-4-2(predicted)Jagiellonia: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia
Head to Head

Head to Head

Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 4, 2026Jagiellonia0 - 0Lech Poznan
September 28, 2025Lech Poznan2 - 2Jagiellonia
March 16, 2025Jagiellonia2 - 1Lech Poznan
League Table

League Table

EkstraklasaPoland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16510114+716
27430156+915
36501127+515
484221511+414
574031110+112
673131313010
76303129+39
8623185+39
9623175+29
10623165+19
11722368-28
127223613-78
137142101007
147133911-26
158125915-65
166123411-75
176114913-44
187106815-73
Relegation
Ekstraklasa - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Lech Poznan6510114716WD
2Legia Warszawa7430156915WW
3Gornik Zabrze6501127515W
4Wisla Krakow84221511414LW
5Jagiellonia74031110112WW
6Piast Gliwice73131313010WL
7GKS Katowice630312939WL
8Pogon Szczecin62318539WL
9Korona Kielce62317529L
10Zaglebie Lubin62316519LW
11Cracovia Krakow722368-28LD
12Radomiak Radom7223613-78LW
13Widzew Łódź7142101007DD
14Slask Wroclaw7133911-26WL
15Motor Lublin8125915-65LD
16Wisla Plock6123411-75DW
17Wieczysta Kraków6114913-44LL
18Raków Częstochowa7106815-73LL