Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC Prediction - September 26, 2026
Alternative:4-1
Goals: Over 2.51.34
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?
The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 4-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Philadelphia Union are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Orlando City visit Philadelphia Union on 26 September as the Union's nearest neighbours in the MLS table, and Superior's pick is Over 2.5 goals. It is priced at 1.34 with a model probability of 70 percent, built on a Philadelphia attack that has scored 19 goals in its last five.
Orlando and Philadelphia sit side by side in the table
Both clubs are in the top quarter of the league with plenty of the season left, and their recent games have been open. The model reads the goals side of this from each team's measured scoring and conceding: Philadelphia won 4-3 at Sporting Kansas City, 5-0 at San Diego and 5-0 against Cincinnati, and Orlando's last five produced 6, 3, 3, 5 and 1 goals. The last meeting, in May, ended 4-3 to Orlando.
The 2025 meeting in Philadelphia finished 0-0
Two goals or fewer loses this, and the meeting in Philadelphia in April 2025 was goalless. Orlando kept clean sheets against Toronto and San Diego this month and Philadelphia shut out Montreal and Cincinnati, so a 1-0 or 2-0 either way is the realistic route to losing it.
AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Orlando City SC | 4 - 3 | Philadelphia Union |
| April 5, 2025 | Philadelphia Union | 0 - 0 | Orlando City SC |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | +30 | 46 | ||
| 1 | 25 | +29 | 54 | ||
| 2 | 25 | +4 | 43 | ||
| 2 | 25 | +15 | 45 | ||
| 3 | 25 | +7 | 43 | ||
| 3 | 25 | +10 | 43 | ||
| 4 | 25 | +8 | 41 | ||
| 4 | 25 | +9 | 40 | ||
| 5 | 24 | +10 | 39 | ||
| 5 | 25 | +7 | 41 | ||
| 6 | 25 | -12 | 34 | ||
| 6 | 26 | +14 | 40 | ||
| 7 | 25 | +7 | 33 | ||
| 7 | 25 | +1 | 35 | ||
| 8 | 26 | -14 | 33 | ||
| 8 | 25 | 0 | 32 | ||
| 9 | 26 | +5 | 32 | ||
| 9 | 25 | 0 | 30 | ||
| 10 | 26 | -9 | 30 | ||
| 10 | 24 | -7 | 32 | ||
| 11 | 24 | -2 | 29 | ||
| 11 | 24 | -7 | 29 | ||
| 12 | 25 | -8 | 29 | ||
| 12 | 25 | -6 | 29 | ||
| 13 | 25 | -7 | 23 | ||
| 13 | 25 | -12 | 29 | ||
| 14 | 23 | -5 | 28 | ||
| 14 | 25 | -14 | 23 | ||
| 15 | 24 | -33 | 18 | ||
| 15 | 25 | -20 | 21 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 46 | DDLWL |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 54 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 43 | WWDDW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 45 | DWWWW |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 43 | DLDWW |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 43 | DWDLW |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 41 | LDLWL |
| 4 | Charlotte | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 40 | LWDWW |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 39 | WLLWW |
| 5 | St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 41 | DWWWW |
| 6 | Orlando City SC | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 34 | LWWLD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 7 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 35 | WLWLL |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 33 | WLLWD |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 9 | New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 32 | DWWLD |
| 9 | San Diego | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 30 | DWLLD |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 30 | DDLLD |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 32 | WLWWD |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 29 | DLLDW |
| 11 | DC United | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 29 | DWDDD |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 29 | DLDDL |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 29 | DDLDL |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 23 | DWLWD |
| 13 | Austin | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 29 | LLWLL |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 | LLLLL |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 | LLWLL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 21 | DLLDD |
