Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu Prediction - September 23, 2026

Emperor’s CupJapanFull time
Vissel Kobe
1:0
Sagan Tosu
Correct scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.28Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.55price rising, opened at 1.35
Draw3.87price falling, opened at 4.94
Away6.06price falling, opened at 9.10

Market move since Sep 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.29price rising, opened at 1.28
Under 1.53.40price falling, opened at 3.50
Over 2.52.01price rising, opened at 1.90
Under 2.51.80price falling, opened at 1.90
Over 3.53.42price rising, opened at 3.20
Under 3.51.29price falling, opened at 1.33
Both teams to score
Yes2.06price falling, opened at 2.25
No1.71price rising, opened at 1.59
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price falling, opened at 1.92
Even1.87price falling, opened at 1.88
Handicap
Home -11.93
Away +11.87

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Vissel Kobe are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Vissel Kobe and Sagan Tosu average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-011.0%Our score
  2. 1-010.9%
  3. 2-110.7%Alternative
  4. 1-17.6%
  5. 3-07.6%

Top five combined: 47.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeVissel KobexG2.25
AwaySagan TosuxG0.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.9%
11%
11%
7.6%
3.8%
1.6%
0.9%
1
5.0%
7.6%
11%
7.0%
3.3%
1.4%
0.7%
2
2.5%
4.9%
3.5%
3.0%
1.6%
0.6%
0.3%
3
0.9%
1.6%
1.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.3%48.7% No
Over 1.5 80.1%19.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 59.0%41.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.8%65.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Vissel Kobe win and over 2.5 goals43.5%
Vissel Kobe win and both teams score29.6%
Sagan Tosu win and over 2.5 goals11.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Vissel Kobe or draw81.4%
Sagan Tosu or draw34.6%
Either team wins84.0%
Draw no bet: Vissel Kobe77.9%
Draw no bet: Sagan Tosu22.1%
Vissel Kobe win to nil35.8%
Sagan Tosu win to nil9.0%
Team goals
Vissel Kobe to score87.1%
Sagan Tosu to score60.3%
Vissel Kobe over 1.5 goals61.4%
Sagan Tosu over 1.5 goals24.4%
Vissel Kobe clean sheet39.7%
Sagan Tosu clean sheet12.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Won

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Vissel Kobe: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu