Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali Prediction - September 23, 2026
Alternative:1-0
Goals: Under 2.51.52
The odds at Unibet have gone up from 1.52 to 1.55 since we published this pick, so the bookmaker now rates it less likely.
What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Deportivo Cali are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Two clean sheets from three home games back Santa Fe's Under 2.5 goals pick against Deportivo Cali on 23 September. Superior prices it at 1.52, rated a 61 percent likelihood, even though the two sides' combined season average sits at 3.0 goals a game.
Santa Fe have kept two clean sheets in their last three home games
Santa Fe average 1.4 goals a game, but at home it has been tighter: a 1-0 win over Deportes Tolima and a scoreless draw with Vasco da Gama sandwich a 2-2 draw with Fortaleza. Two clean sheets from three home games is the real base under this price, even with the raw combined average at 3.0.
Cali have won two of their last five without conceding twice
Deportivo Cali carry the higher scoring average at 1.6, but their defence has not leaked: two wins and two draws in their last five, and only a 1-2 loss to Atletico Nacional saw them concede more than once. The two sides have also stayed tight head to head, a 1-1 draw in March following a 1-0 Santa Fe win last November.
Santa Fe's own 2-2 draw with Fortaleza is the real threat here
The clearest threat to this line is Santa Fe's own capacity to get dragged into a shootout: their last home game finished 2-2 with Fortaleza, and Cali have shown they can score away too, beating Once Caldas 2-1. The 3.0 combined average already sits above the line, and the 1.52 price needs roughly a 66 percent hit rate to break even, above Superior's own 61 percent read. A repeat of that Fortaleza scoreline beats the pick outright.
AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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2 selections at 1.74
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Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 19, 2026 | Deportivo Cali | 1 - 1 | Santa Fe |
| November 10, 2025 | Santa Fe | 1 - 0 | Deportivo Cali |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +20 | 40 | ||
| 2 | 19 | +7 | 35 | ||
| 3 | 19 | +4 | 34 | ||
| 4 | 19 | +10 | 33 | ||
| 5 | 19 | +9 | 33 | ||
| 6 | 19 | +10 | 31 | ||
| 7 | 19 | +7 | 29 | ||
| 8 | 19 | 0 | 28 | ||
| 8 | 19 | 0 | 28 | ||
| 9 | 19 | +4 | 27 | ||
| 10 | 19 | +8 | 26 | ||
| 11 | 19 | +2 | 26 | ||
| 12 | 19 | -5 | 26 | ||
| 12 | 19 | -5 | 26 | ||
| 13 | 19 | +6 | 23 | ||
| 14 | 19 | -3 | 22 | ||
| 15 | 19 | -5 | 22 | ||
| 16 | 19 | -13 | 18 | ||
| 17 | 19 | -14 | 17 | ||
| 17 | 19 | -14 | 17 | ||
| 18 | 19 | -17 | 17 | ||
| 19 | 19 | -13 | 16 | ||
| 19 | 19 | -13 | 16 | ||
| 20 | 19 | -17 | 10 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 | LLLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 | LLLLL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | WWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 | DWDLW |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 | WWLLW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 | DLLDW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 | LLLLW |
| 8 | La Equidad FC | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 | |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 | LWDWL |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 | WWWDL |
| 12 | Rionegro Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 | |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 | DWLDL |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 | DDWLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Alianza Petrolera | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 | |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 | LWLLW |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 | LLDLW |
| 19 | Cúcuta Deportivo | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 | |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 | DLLWL |
