Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City Prediction - September 23, 2026

Emperor’s CupJapanFull time
Machida Zelvia
2:1
Tochigi City
Correct scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:2-1

Match Winner: Home1.32Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.27price falling, opened at 1.31
Draw6.39price rising, opened at 5.55
Away7.77price falling, opened at 9.10

Market move since Sep 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.08price rising, opened at 1.07
Under 1.57.00price rising, opened at 6.40
Over 2.51.31price rising, opened at 1.30
Under 2.53.25
Over 3.51.97price rising, opened at 1.70
Under 3.51.83price falling, opened at 2.02
Both teams to score
Yes1.71price rising, opened at 1.52
No2.06price falling, opened at 2.40
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price falling, opened at 1.98
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -1.751.90price rising, opened at 1.88
Away +1.751.90price falling, opened at 1.92

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Machida Zelvia are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Machida Zelvia won 3 of their last 5 matches; Tochigi City won 2 of 5.
  • Machida Zelvia average 2.0 goals per match against 1.6 for Tochigi City.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-010.2%Our score
  2. 2-110.7%Alternative
  3. 1-09.4%
  4. 3-08.4%
  5. 3-17.7%

Top five combined: 46.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMachida ZelviaxG2.64
AwayTochigi CityxG0.92
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.7%
9.4%
10%
8.4%
4.8%
2.4%
1.6%
1
3.4%
6.2%
11%
7.7%
4.4%
2.1%
1.4%
2
1.9%
3.9%
3.3%
3.4%
2.1%
0.9%
0.6%
3
0.8%
1.3%
1.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.1%45.9% No
Over 1.5 84.6%15.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 66.4%33.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 42.6%57.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Machida Zelvia win and over 2.5 goals52.0%
Machida Zelvia win and both teams score34.8%
Tochigi City win and over 2.5 goals9.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Machida Zelvia or draw84.9%
Tochigi City or draw28.5%
Either team wins86.6%
Draw no bet: Machida Zelvia82.6%
Draw no bet: Tochigi City17.4%
Machida Zelvia win to nil36.8%
Tochigi City win to nil6.5%
Team goals
Machida Zelvia to score90.8%
Tochigi City to score60.6%
Machida Zelvia over 1.5 goals69.4%
Tochigi City over 1.5 goals24.6%
Machida Zelvia clean sheet39.4%
Tochigi City clean sheet9.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Won

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Machida Zelvia: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City