Azerbaijan vs Tajikistan Prediction - September 23, 2026

FriendliesWorldFull time
Azerbaijan
1:0
Tajikistan
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.75price rising, opened at 1.67
Draw3.76price falling, opened at 3.82
Away4.58price falling, opened at 5.20

Market move since Sep 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27price falling, opened at 1.29
Under 1.53.14price rising, opened at 3.04
Over 2.51.98price falling, opened at 2.06
Under 2.51.82price rising, opened at 1.76
Over 3.53.28price falling, opened at 3.50
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes1.85price falling, opened at 1.97
No1.85price rising, opened at 1.75
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.85
Handicap
Home -0.751.87price rising, opened at 1.77
Away +0.751.77price falling, opened at 1.87

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Azerbaijan vs Tajikistan?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Tajikistan are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-19.8%Our score
  2. 0-19.8%Alternative
  3. 1-08.5%
  4. 0-27.9%
  5. 1-27.9%

Top five combined: 43.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAzerbaijanxG1.42
AwayTajikistanxG1.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.2%
8.5%
5.5%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
9.8%
9.8%
6.3%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
7.9%
7.9%
3.7%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
5.5%
3.8%
2.0%
0.7%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
2.4%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
2.2%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.5%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 46.6%53.4% No
Over 1.5 74.5%25.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 51.3%48.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 29.2%70.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Azerbaijan win and over 2.5 goals17.1%
Azerbaijan win and both teams score13.3%
Tajikistan win and over 2.5 goals29.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Azerbaijan or draw52.6%
Tajikistan or draw68.9%
Either team wins78.5%
Draw no bet: Azerbaijan39.6%
Draw no bet: Tajikistan60.4%
Azerbaijan win to nil17.8%
Tajikistan win to nil28.3%
Team goals
Azerbaijan to score64.4%
Tajikistan to score75.0%
Azerbaijan over 1.5 goals31.1%
Tajikistan over 1.5 goals45.0%
Azerbaijan clean sheet25.0%
Tajikistan clean sheet35.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Azerbaijan: 3-5-2(confirmed lineup)Tajikistan: 4-1-4-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Azerbaijan vs Tajikistan