Cobreloa vs Coquimbo Unido Prediction - September 22, 2026

Copa ChileChileFull time
Cobreloa
1:2
Coquimbo Unido
Correct scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.27Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.46price rising, opened at 3.17
Draw3.38price rising, opened at 3.20
Away2.02price falling, opened at 2.21

Market move since Sep 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.29price falling, opened at 1.30
Under 1.53.04price rising, opened at 2.97
Over 2.51.99price falling, opened at 2.02
Under 2.51.75price rising, opened at 1.73
Over 3.53.34
Under 3.51.24
Both teams to score
Yes1.81price rising, opened at 1.79
No1.90price falling, opened at 1.92
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price falling, opened at 1.88
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +0.252.00price rising, opened at 1.85
Away -0.251.73price falling, opened at 1.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Cobreloa vs Coquimbo Unido?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Coquimbo Unido are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Superior's model projects a tight 1-0 win for Coquimbo Unido in Cobreloa vs Coquimbo Unido on 22 September's Copa Chile tie, with a 1-1 draw rated as the next most likely finish. Neither side is scoring heavily, Cobreloa averaging 1.0 goals a game and Coquimbo Unido 1.2, and Coquimbo Unido arrive on the back of three losses in their last five matches.

Coquimbo Unido's edge is thin, not commanding

The model's own scoring inputs explain why this is projected as a low, tight game rather than anything more: Cobreloa average 1.0 goals a match and Coquimbo Unido only 1.2. Cobreloa have scored just five goals across their last five outings, splitting those results two wins, one draw and two defeats, conceding five in the process. It is a modest platform on both sides, which is exactly why the model's alternate 1-1 sits close behind its lead scoreline.

Coquimbo Unido have lost three of their last five

Coquimbo Unido have lost three of their last five matches, including a 2-3 defeat at Cobresal and a 2-4 loss at Universidad de Chile, conceding nine goals across that stretch, and that recent leakiness is the clearest danger to a 1-0 away win. A side shipping goals at that rate on the road is not an obvious pick to keep a clean sheet away from home, which is exactly what a 1-0 scoreline would need.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-110.9%Our score
  2. 1-111.0%Alternative
  3. 1-29.7%
  4. 0-28.6%
  5. 1-07.4%

Top five combined: 47.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCobreloaxG0.96
AwayCoquimbo UnidoxG1.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.2%
7.4%
4.0%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
11%
11%
6.5%
2.5%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
8.6%
9.7%
4.8%
2.0%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
4.9%
5.0%
2.8%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
2.1%
2.1%
1.0%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 52.4%47.6% No
Over 1.5 75.5%24.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 52.0%48.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 29.2%70.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Cobreloa win and over 2.5 goals15.7%
Cobreloa win and both teams score13.2%
Coquimbo Unido win and over 2.5 goals30.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Cobreloa or draw50.0%
Coquimbo Unido or draw72.9%
Either team wins77.0%
Draw no bet: Cobreloa35.1%
Draw no bet: Coquimbo Unido64.9%
Cobreloa win to nil13.9%
Coquimbo Unido win to nil27.5%
Team goals
Cobreloa to score66.3%
Coquimbo Unido to score79.9%
Cobreloa over 1.5 goals30.3%
Coquimbo Unido over 1.5 goals48.0%
Cobreloa clean sheet20.1%
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet33.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Cobreloa vs Coquimbo Unido