Sporting JAX W vs Lexington W Prediction - September 20, 2026

USL Super LeagueUSAFull time
Sporting JAX W
0:1
Lexington W
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.37Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.20price rising, opened at 1.97
Draw3.22price falling, opened at 3.40
Away2.91price falling, opened at 3.26

Market move since Sep 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26price rising, opened at 1.20
Under 1.53.20price falling, opened at 3.70
Over 2.51.92price rising, opened at 1.75
Under 2.51.76price falling, opened at 1.93
Over 3.53.34price rising, opened at 2.88
Under 3.51.24price falling, opened at 1.32
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price rising, opened at 1.82
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.91price rising, opened at 1.73
Away +0.251.76price falling, opened at 1.94

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sporting JAX W vs Lexington W?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Lexington W are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Sporting JAX W and Lexington W average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.5%Our score
  2. 1-010.1%Alternative
  3. 0-19.3%
  4. 2-18.8%
  5. 1-27.8%

Top five combined: 48.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSporting JAX WxG1.43
AwayLexington WxG1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.1%
10%
6.8%
3.5%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
1
9.3%
13%
8.8%
4.0%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
2
5.2%
7.8%
5.2%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.2%
2.9%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 52.8%47.2% No
Over 1.5 73.6%26.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 49.1%50.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.8%73.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sporting JAX W win and over 2.5 goals24.3%
Sporting JAX W win and both teams score18.9%
Lexington W win and over 2.5 goals18.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sporting JAX W or draw67.0%
Lexington W or draw58.9%
Either team wins74.1%
Draw no bet: Sporting JAX W55.5%
Draw no bet: Lexington W44.5%
Sporting JAX W win to nil22.3%
Lexington W win to nil17.8%
Team goals
Sporting JAX W to score75.1%
Lexington W to score70.6%
Sporting JAX W over 1.5 goals40.6%
Lexington W over 1.5 goals34.1%
Sporting JAX W clean sheet29.4%
Lexington W clean sheet24.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Sporting JAX W vs Lexington W
Head to Head

Head to Head

Sporting JAX W vs Lexington W: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 25, 2026Sporting JAX W1 - 2Lexington W
February 21, 2026Lexington W0 - 3Sporting JAX W
October 31, 2025Lexington W4 - 2Sporting JAX
League Table

League Table

USL Super LeagueUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16501103+715
2631297+210
3631298+110
4622297+28
5522187+18
6420253+26
7510438-53
86105414-103
USL Super League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Carolina Ascent W6501103715
2Sporting JAX W631297210
3Dallas Trinity W631298110
4DC Power W62229728
5Tampa Bay Sun W52218718
6Lexington W42025326
7Fort Lauderdale United W510438-53
8Brooklyn W6105414-103