Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Prediction - September 20, 2026

Liga MXMexicoFull time
Monterrey
1:0
Cruz Azul
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.20Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.18price falling, opened at 2.57
Draw3.60price rising, opened at 3.54
Away2.91price rising, opened at 2.41

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13
Under 1.54.55price falling, opened at 4.60
Over 2.51.58price rising, opened at 1.57
Under 2.52.27price falling, opened at 2.29
Over 3.52.38price rising, opened at 2.35
Under 3.51.46price falling, opened at 1.47
Both teams to score
Yes1.49price rising, opened at 1.47
No2.44price falling, opened at 2.50
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price falling, opened at 1.87
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.88
Away +0.251.83

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Cruz Azul are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Monterrey and Cruz Azul average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.4%Our score
  2. 1-29.2%Alternative
  3. 0-18.7%
  4. 2-17.7%
  5. 1-07.2%

Top five combined: 44.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMonterreyxG1.05
AwayCruz AzulxG1.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.8%
7.2%
4.8%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
8.7%
11%
7.7%
3.3%
1.1%
0.4%
<0.1%
2
6.8%
9.2%
5.8%
2.5%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
4.0%
4.4%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.6%
1.8%
1.0%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.6%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 56.6%43.4% No
Over 1.5 78.2%21.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 55.2%44.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 32.0%68.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Monterrey win and over 2.5 goals20.3%
Monterrey win and both teams score16.7%
Cruz Azul win and over 2.5 goals27.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Monterrey or draw56.9%
Cruz Azul or draw67.6%
Either team wins75.5%
Draw no bet: Monterrey42.9%
Draw no bet: Cruz Azul57.1%
Monterrey win to nil15.7%
Cruz Azul win to nil21.9%
Team goals
Monterrey to score72.3%
Cruz Azul to score78.5%
Monterrey over 1.5 goals37.4%
Cruz Azul over 1.5 goals45.8%
Monterrey clean sheet21.5%
Cruz Azul clean sheet27.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Monterrey: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Monterrey vs Cruz Azul
Head to Head

Head to Head

Monterrey vs Cruz Azul: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 18, 2026Cruz Azul1 - 1Monterrey
March 11, 2026Monterrey2 - 3Cruz Azul
March 1, 2026Monterrey0 - 2Cruz Azul
October 26, 2025Cruz Azul2 - 0Monterrey
League Table

League Table

Liga MXMexico · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
18611186+1219
29531178+918
38521178+917
495041615+115
594231111014
694231315-214
784131410+413
87412107+313
98413119+213
107412108+213
1193331213-112
128323138+511
1392341116-59
149153813-58
1592251016-68
169144913-47
178116613-74
189108623-173
Liga MX - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Toluca86111861219WLW
2Guadalajara Chivas9531178918DWL
3Club America8521178917WDW
4Cruz Azul95041615115LWW
5Puebla94231111014DLW
6Atlas94231315-214LWW
7Monterrey84131410413WLW
8Club Queretaro7412107313WWL
9Leon8413119213WLL
10Club Tijuana7412108213DWW
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas93331213-112WWL
12CF Pachuca8323138511LLW
13Atletico San Luis92341116-59DDL
14Atlante FC9153813-58WDL
15Necaxa92251016-68LWW
16Tigres UANL9144913-47LDL
17Santos Laguna8116613-74LLL
18FC Juarez9108623-173LLL