Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.33Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.58

Draw3.36

Away2.71

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.26

Under 1.53.20

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Over 3.53.20

Under 3.51.26

Both teams to score

Yes1.71

No2.02

Odd/Even

Odd1.86

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +01.86

Away +01.95

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Machida Zelvia are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 17, 2026, 00:02 UTCModel CS-9Methodology

Match highlights

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-010.8%Our score
1-111.5%Alternative
2-110.2%
2-09.5%
0-06.3%

Top five combined: 48.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMachida ZelviaxG1.77

AwayKashiwa ReysolxG1.00

6.3%

11%

9.5%

5.5%

2.5%

0.9%

0.4%

6.1%

11%

10%

5.7%

2.5%

0.8%

0.3%

3.1%

5.9%

5.0%

3.1%

1.2%

0.4%

0.2%

1.1%

1.8%

1.6%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.3%

0.5%

0.4%

0.2%

<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.5%46.5% No

Over 1.5 76.8%23.2% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 52.7%47.3% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 30.0%70.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Machida Zelvia win and over 2.5 goals34.3%

Machida Zelvia win and both teams score25.1%

Kashiwa Reysol win and over 2.5 goals12.3%

Draw and under 2.5 goals17.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Machida Zelvia or draw78.5%

Kashiwa Reysol or draw45.3%

Either team wins76.2%

Draw no bet: Machida Zelvia71.8%

Draw no bet: Kashiwa Reysol28.2%

Machida Zelvia win to nil29.6%

Kashiwa Reysol win to nil10.7%

Team goals

Machida Zelvia to score83.0%

Kashiwa Reysol to score64.2%

Machida Zelvia over 1.5 goals52.4%

Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 goals27.0%

Machida Zelvia clean sheet35.8%

Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet17.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Machida Zelvia: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)Kashiwa Reysol: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol

Head to Head

Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
April 11, 2026	Machida Zelvia	1 - 0	Kashiwa Reysol
March 14, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol	0 - 1	Machida Zelvia
December 6, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol	1 - 0	Machida Zelvia
May 17, 2025	Machida Zelvia	3 - 0	Kashiwa Reysol

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	7	5	2	0	19	6	+13	17
2	Vissel Kobe	7	5	1	1	11	5	+6	16
3	Kashiwa Reysol	7	5	0	2	13	10	+3	15
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	7	4	2	1	19	6	+13	14
5	FC Tokyo	7	4	2	1	13	8	+5	14
6	Fagiano Okayama	7	4	1	2	10	8	+2	13
7	Kawasaki Frontale	7	3	3	1	13	9	+4	12
8	Kashima	7	4	0	3	14	13	+1	12
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	7	3	2	2	11	9	+2	11
10	Cerezo Osaka	7	3	1	3	6	11	-5	10
11	Mito Hollyhock	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
12	Urawa	7	3	0	4	13	17	-4	9
13	Shimizu S-pulse	7	2	1	4	4	7	-3	7
14	V-varen Nagasaki	7	2	1	4	9	14	-5	7
15	Gamba Osaka	7	1	3	3	8	13	-5	6
16	Nagoya Grampus	7	2	0	5	7	13	-6	6
17	Kyoto Sanga	7	1	2	4	9	14	-5	5
18	Avispa Fukuoka	7	1	1	5	9	11	-2	4
19	Tokyo Verdy	7	0	4	3	3	9	-6	4
20	JEF United Chiba	7	1	1	5	6	16	-10	4

J1 League - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Machida Zelvia	7	5	2	0	19	6	13	17
2	Vissel Kobe	7	5	1	1	11	5	6	16
3	Kashiwa Reysol	7	5	0	2	13	10	3	15
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	7	4	2	1	19	6	13	14
5	FC Tokyo	7	4	2	1	13	8	5	14
6	Fagiano Okayama	7	4	1	2	10	8	2	13
7	Kawasaki Frontale	7	3	3	1	13	9	4	12
8	Kashima	7	4	0	3	14	13	1	12
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	7	3	2	2	11	9	2	11
10	Cerezo Osaka	7	3	1	3	6	11	-5	10
11	Mito Hollyhock	7	2	3	2	11	9	2	9
12	Urawa	7	3	0	4	13	17	-4	9
13	Shimizu S-pulse	7	2	1	4	4	7	-3	7
14	V-varen Nagasaki	7	2	1	4	9	14	-5	7
15	Gamba Osaka	7	1	3	3	8	13	-5	6
16	Nagoya Grampus	7	2	0	5	7	13	-6	6
17	Kyoto Sanga	7	1	2	4	9	14	-5	5
18	Avispa Fukuoka	7	1	1	5	9	11	-2	4
19	Tokyo Verdy	7	0	4	3	3	9	-6	4
20	JEF United Chiba	7	1	1	5	6	16	-10	4

Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction - September 20, 2026

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What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?

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