Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Albirex Niigata Prediction - September 2, 2026

J-League CupJapanFull time
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:2
Albirex Niigata
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.43Won

Bookmaker odds

Home6.70price falling, opened at 7.31
Draw5.00price falling, opened at 5.40
Away1.42price rising, opened at 1.33

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22price rising, opened at 1.18
Under 1.54.30price rising, opened at 3.92
Over 2.51.68price falling, opened at 1.73
Under 2.52.19price rising, opened at 2.05
Over 3.52.81price falling, opened at 2.83
Under 3.51.44price rising, opened at 1.33
Both teams to score
Yes1.90price falling, opened at 1.99
No1.90price rising, opened at 1.73
Odd/Even
Odd1.90price rising, opened at 1.78
Even1.90price falling, opened at 1.93
Handicap
Home +1.251.95price rising, opened at 1.90
Away -1.251.85price rising, opened at 1.83

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Albirex Niigata?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Albirex Niigata are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Thespakusatsu Gunma and Albirex Niigata average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.9%Projected
  2. 1-19.7%Alternative
  3. 2-09.0%
  4. 1-08.8%
  5. 3-16.8%

Top five combined: 44.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeThespakusatsu GunmaxG2.05
AwayAlbirex NiigataxG1.10
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.3%
8.8%
9.0%
6.2%
3.2%
1.3%
0.6%
1
4.7%
9.7%
9.9%
6.8%
3.5%
1.4%
0.7%
2
2.6%
5.3%
5.4%
3.7%
1.9%
0.8%
0.4%
3
0.9%
1.9%
2.0%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 58.0%42.0% No
Over 1.5 82.2%17.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 60.9%39.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 38.5%61.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Thespakusatsu Gunma win and over 2.5 goals41.5%
Thespakusatsu Gunma win and both teams score30.2%
Albirex Niigata win and over 2.5 goals12.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Thespakusatsu Gunma or draw80.3%
Albirex Niigata or draw40.7%
Either team wins79.0%
Draw no bet: Thespakusatsu Gunma75.1%
Draw no bet: Albirex Niigata24.9%
Thespakusatsu Gunma win to nil29.1%
Albirex Niigata win to nil8.6%
Team goals
Thespakusatsu Gunma to score87.1%
Albirex Niigata to score66.6%
Thespakusatsu Gunma over 1.5 goals60.7%
Albirex Niigata over 1.5 goals30.0%
Thespakusatsu Gunma clean sheet33.4%
Albirex Niigata clean sheet12.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Albirex Niigata