St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction - September 2, 2026

Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgiumFull time
St. Truiden
0:3
Union St. Gilloise
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.44Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.60price falling, opened at 3.64
Draw3.62price rising, opened at 3.44
Away2.00price falling, opened at 2.05

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.17price falling, opened at 1.21
Under 1.54.10price rising, opened at 3.62
Over 2.51.66price falling, opened at 1.77
Under 2.52.21price rising, opened at 2.05
Over 3.52.45price falling, opened at 2.64
Under 3.51.44price rising, opened at 1.38
Both teams to score
Yes1.55price falling, opened at 1.61
No2.30price rising, opened at 2.18
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price falling, opened at 1.90
Even1.80price rising, opened at 1.78
Handicap
Home +0.252.04price rising, opened at 2.00
Away -0.251.66price falling, opened at 1.69

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Union St. Gilloise are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Union St. Gilloise's last two away trips produced a 5-1 win at Westerlo and a 3-7 defeat at PSV Eindhoven, ten and six goals respectively, which makes Superior's projected 1-0 scoreline for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise on 2 September a tighter read than the visitors' recent road games suggest. The alternative line has it finishing goalless.

St. Truiden have not lost either home game in this run

St. Truiden's only two home matches produced a 1-0 win over Omonia Nicosia and a 1-1 draw with Lommel United, both tidy afternoons compared with their form on the road, where they conceded four at AEK Athens and lost 4-2 away to that same Omonia side. That home discipline is the base for a narrow scoreline rather than a shootout.

A Europa League trip sits six days before kickoff

The risk to a tidy home night is fatigue: St. Truiden's schedule shows a Europa League match away from home six days before this one, with only three days to recover, the kind of turnaround that produced that disjointed 4-2 defeat at Omonia. Union St. Gilloise arrive on a full three days' rest and own the two biggest away scorelines of any side in this sample, so if their front line travels well again, the projected clean home night could turn into exactly the kind of open contest their last two European trips both became.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-017.5%Projected
  2. 0-014.4%Alternative
  3. 1-112.6%
  4. 2-010.6%
  5. 0-110.4%

Top five combined: 65.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSt. TruidenxG1.21
AwayUnion St. GilloisexG0.72
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
14%
18%
11%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
1
10%
13%
7.7%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
2
3.8%
4.6%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
3
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 36.2%63.8% No
Over 1.5 57.7%42.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 30.6%69.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 13.2%86.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

St. Truiden win and over 2.5 goals19.7%
St. Truiden win and both teams score13.7%
Union St. Gilloise win and over 2.5 goals7.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals27.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
St. Truiden or draw78.0%
Union St. Gilloise or draw52.2%
Either team wins69.9%
Draw no bet: St. Truiden68.5%
Draw no bet: Union St. Gilloise31.5%
St. Truiden win to nil34.2%
Union St. Gilloise win to nil15.3%
Team goals
St. Truiden to score70.3%
Union St. Gilloise to score51.4%
St. Truiden over 1.5 goals34.3%
Union St. Gilloise over 1.5 goals16.4%
St. Truiden clean sheet48.6%
Union St. Gilloise clean sheet29.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Team news

Confirmed formations

St. Truiden: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Union St. Gilloise: 3-4-3(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise
Head to Head

Head to Head

St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 2, 2026St. Truiden2 - 1Union St. Gilloise
April 4, 2026Union St. Gilloise1 - 0St. Truiden
March 22, 2026St. Truiden1 - 3Union St. Gilloise
October 26, 2025Union St. Gilloise2 - 0St. Truiden
League Table

League Table

Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1540192+712
2440092+712
3440072+512
44310111+1010
5422083+58
6422096+38
74211128+47
8521263+37
94211109+17
10420235-26
1141218805
124103210-83
13402257-22
14402259-42
15401348-41
164013514-91
17400429-70
1700000000
184004110-90
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Jupiler Pro League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Club Brugge KV540192712
2Charleroi440092712
3Gent440072512
4Union St. Gilloise43101111010
5Zulte Waregem42208358
6Standard Liege42209638
7Genk421112847
8Lommel United52126337
9Antwerp421110917
10Anderlecht420235-26
11St. Truiden41218805
12Waasland-Beveren4103210-83
13Cercle Brugge402257-22
14KV Mechelen402259-42
15RAAL La Louvière401348-41
16KVC Westerlo4013514-91
17OH Leuven400429-70
17SK Beveren00000000
18Kortrijk4004110-90