Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva Prediction - September 2, 2026

CupRussiaFull time
Spartak Moscow
3:1
Rodina Moskva
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:3-1

Match Winner: Home1.33Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.26price falling, opened at 1.31
Draw6.20price rising, opened at 5.80
Away10.00price rising, opened at 8.50

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.08price falling, opened at 1.10
Under 1.55.60price rising, opened at 5.10
Over 2.51.40price falling, opened at 1.45
Under 2.52.70price rising, opened at 2.53
Over 3.52.10price falling, opened at 2.25
Under 3.51.74price rising, opened at 1.65
Both teams to score
Yes1.78
No1.95
Odd/Even
Odd1.84price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.86price falling, opened at 1.87
Handicap
Home -1.751.93
Away +1.751.87

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 3-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Spartak Moscow are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Spartak Moscow average 1.8 goals per match against 0.6 for Rodina Moskva.
  • Spartak Moscow won 3 of their last 5 matches; Rodina Moskva won 0 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-18.2%Projected
  2. 3-18.0%Alternative
  3. 2-06.4%
  4. 3-06.2%
  5. 4-15.8%

Top five combined: 34.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSpartak MoscowxG2.92
AwayRodina MoskvaxG1.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.5%
4.4%
6.4%
6.2%
4.5%
2.6%
2.1%
1
1.9%
5.6%
8.2%
8.0%
5.8%
3.4%
2.7%
2
1.2%
3.6%
5.2%
5.1%
3.7%
2.2%
1.7%
3
0.5%
1.5%
2.2%
2.2%
1.6%
0.9%
0.7%
4
0.2%
0.5%
0.7%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 68.4%31.6% No
Over 1.5 92.2%7.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 79.0%21.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 60.5%39.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Spartak Moscow win and over 2.5 goals60.2%
Spartak Moscow win and both teams score44.7%
Rodina Moskva win and over 2.5 goals10.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals7.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Spartak Moscow or draw86.0%
Rodina Moskva or draw29.1%
Either team wins84.9%
Draw no bet: Spartak Moscow83.5%
Draw no bet: Rodina Moskva16.5%
Spartak Moscow win to nil26.2%
Rodina Moskva win to nil3.9%
Team goals
Spartak Moscow to score94.6%
Rodina Moskva to score72.3%
Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals78.9%
Rodina Moskva over 1.5 goals36.7%
Spartak Moscow clean sheet27.7%
Rodina Moskva clean sheet5.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

Spartak Moscow: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva
Head to Head

Head to Head

Spartak Moscow
3 - 0
Rodina Moskva
July 25, 2026
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 25, 2026Spartak Moscow3 - 0Rodina Moskva