Sassuolo vs Frosinone Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.32Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.77

Draw3.90

Away4.30

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.15

Under 1.54.30

Over 2.51.66

Under 2.52.22

Over 3.52.49

Under 3.51.42

Both teams to score

Yes1.59

No2.21

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.83

Handicap

Home -0.751.89

Away +0.751.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sassuolo vs Frosinone?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 30, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

Sassuolo and Frosinone both carry three days' rest into their Coppa Italia meeting on 2 September, and Superior's model projects a 2-1 home win, with 1-1 as the alternative. Sassuolo have scored in every one of their last five matches, while Frosinone have found the net in four of their own last five.

Sassuolo have scored in five straight matches

Sassuolo's run includes a 2-1 win over Torino, a 3-0 win over Cesena and a 2-1 defeat at Atalanta, seven goals scored across their last three matches even while losing two of them. Frosinone have matched that scoring habit on the road, netting three times in a win at Fiorentina and four in a win over Juve Stabia, an attack that has stayed productive even through a run of mixed results.

Frosinone won 1-0 away the last time these sides met

The risk to a home win projection is that Frosinone's only previous meeting with Sassuolo, in April last year, ended in a 1-0 away win, and their away form this run, three goals at Fiorentina and four at Juve Stabia, shows they travel well when their finishing clicks. Sassuolo's defence rating of 5.8 is also the softer number on the pitch here, so if Frosinone's away scoring form repeats itself, the projected home win could just as easily end up going the other way.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

2-19.0%Projected
1-18.7%Alternative
2-26.8%
1-26.6%
3-16.2%

Top five combined: 37.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSassuoloxG2.07

AwayFrosinonexG1.52

2.8%

5.7%

5.9%

4.1%

2.1%

0.9%

0.4%

4.2%

8.7%

9.0%

6.2%

3.2%

1.3%

0.6%

3.2%

6.6%

6.8%

4.7%

2.4%

1.0%

0.5%

1.6%

3.4%

3.5%

2.4%

1.2%

0.5%

0.2%

0.6%

1.3%

0.9%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.2%

0.4%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 68.3%31.7% No

Over 1.5 87.3%12.7% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 69.5%30.5% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 48.3%51.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sassuolo win and over 2.5 goals38.6%

Sassuolo win and both teams score31.2%

Frosinone win and over 2.5 goals21.1%

Draw and under 2.5 goals11.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Sassuolo or draw71.5%

Frosinone or draw49.8%

Either team wins78.8%

Draw no bet: Sassuolo63.8%

Draw no bet: Frosinone36.2%

Sassuolo win to nil19.0%

Frosinone win to nil9.9%

Team goals

Sassuolo to score87.3%

Frosinone to score78.2%

Sassuolo over 1.5 goals61.1%

Frosinone over 1.5 goals45.0%

Sassuolo clean sheet21.8%

Frosinone clean sheet12.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Sassuolo vs Frosinone

Head to Head

Sassuolo vs Frosinone Prediction - September 2, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Sassuolo vs Frosinone?

Match analysis

Sassuolo have scored in five straight matches

Frosinone won 1-0 away the last time these sides met

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

More Coppa Italia Predictions

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