Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction - September 2, 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:0
Nagoya Grampus
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.47Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.57price rising, opened at 1.53
Draw4.24price falling, opened at 4.40
Away5.55price falling, opened at 5.80

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price falling, opened at 1.15
Under 1.55.95price rising, opened at 4.30
Over 2.51.50price falling, opened at 1.66
Under 2.52.61price rising, opened at 2.21
Over 3.52.23price falling, opened at 2.54
Under 3.51.66price rising, opened at 1.41
Both teams to score
Yes1.52price falling, opened at 1.72
No2.53price rising, opened at 2.01
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.84
Handicap
Home -11.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Away +11.95price rising, opened at 1.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.6%Projected
  2. 1-18.3%Alternative
  3. 2-07.9%
  4. 3-17.3%
  5. 1-06.9%

Top five combined: 40.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSanfrecce HiroshimaxG2.30
AwayNagoya GrampusxG1.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.0%
6.9%
7.9%
6.1%
3.5%
1.6%
0.9%
1
3.6%
8.3%
9.6%
7.3%
4.2%
1.9%
1.1%
2
2.2%
5.0%
5.8%
4.4%
2.5%
1.2%
0.6%
3
0.9%
2.0%
2.3%
1.8%
1.0%
0.5%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 63.1%36.9% No
Over 1.5 86.5%13.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 68.0%32.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 46.4%53.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win and over 2.5 goals46.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win and both teams score34.9%
Nagoya Grampus win and over 2.5 goals13.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw81.0%
Nagoya Grampus or draw38.2%
Either team wins80.7%
Draw no bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima76.5%
Draw no bet: Nagoya Grampus23.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win to nil26.9%
Nagoya Grampus win to nil7.1%
Team goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score89.9%
Nagoya Grampus to score70.1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima over 1.5 goals66.8%
Nagoya Grampus over 1.5 goals34.0%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet29.9%
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet10.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Confirmed formations

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)Nagoya Grampus: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
Head to Head

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 23, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima4 - 2Nagoya Grampus
March 18, 2026Nagoya Grampus2 - 1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
August 27, 2025Nagoya Grampus2 - 4Sanfrecce Hiroshima
June 28, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima1 - 2Nagoya Grampus
April 20, 2025Nagoya Grampus2 - 1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
League Table

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400104+612
24400116+512
34310133+1010
4422082+68
5421187+17
6421143+17
7413086+26
8420265+16
942027706
10420235-26
11412165+15
12412167-15
13411234-14
14411268-24
1541036603
16410313-23
174103813-53
18410349-53
19402226-42
204004213-110
J1 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Kashiwa Reysol4400104612
2Kashima4400116512
3Machida Zelvia43101331010
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima42208268
5FC Tokyo42118717
6Vissel Kobe42114317
7Kawasaki Frontale41308626
8Nagoya Grampus42026516
9Yokohama F. Marinos42027706
10Cerezo Osaka420235-26
11Mito Hollyhock41216515
12Gamba Osaka412167-15
13Fagiano Okayama411234-14
14Kyoto Sanga411268-24
15Avispa Fukuoka41036603
16Shimizu S-pulse410313-23
17Urawa4103813-53
18V-varen Nagasaki410349-53
19Tokyo Verdy402226-42
20JEF United Chiba4004213-110