Marek vs Nesebar Prediction - September 2, 2026

Second LeagueBulgariaFull time
Marek
1:0
Nesebar
Correct scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.25Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.66price rising, opened at 1.45
Draw3.38price falling, opened at 3.70
Away4.94price falling, opened at 5.95

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.33price rising, opened at 1.29
Under 1.52.83price falling, opened at 3.30
Over 2.52.08price rising, opened at 2.00
Under 2.51.65price falling, opened at 1.73
Over 3.53.72price rising, opened at 3.60
Under 3.51.20price falling, opened at 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes1.99price falling, opened at 2.00
No1.71price falling, opened at 1.74
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.79
Handicap
Home -0.751.83
Away +0.751.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Marek vs Nesebar?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Marek are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-29.2%Our score
  2. 1-18.2%Alternative
  3. 1-36.9%
  4. 0-26.5%
  5. 2-26.5%

Top five combined: 37.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMarekxG1.41
AwayNesebarxG2.25
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.6%
3.6%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
1
5.8%
8.2%
5.8%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
6.5%
9.2%
6.5%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
4.9%
6.9%
4.9%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
2.8%
3.9%
2.7%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
5
1.2%
1.7%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.7%
0.9%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 67.6%32.4% No
Over 1.5 88.0%12.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 70.8%29.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 49.7%50.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Marek win and over 2.5 goals17.3%
Marek win and both teams score15.5%
Nesebar win and over 2.5 goals44.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Marek or draw43.5%
Nesebar or draw76.5%
Either team wins80.0%
Draw no bet: Marek29.4%
Draw no bet: Nesebar70.6%
Marek win to nil8.0%
Nesebar win to nil21.9%
Team goals
Marek to score75.6%
Nesebar to score89.5%
Marek over 1.5 goals41.1%
Nesebar over 1.5 goals65.8%
Marek clean sheet10.5%
Nesebar clean sheet24.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.60

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Marek vs Nesebar
Head to Head

Head to Head

Marek vs Nesebar: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 17, 2025Marek1 - 0Nesebar
League Table

League Table

Second LeagueBulgaria · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
19630218+1321
29522198+1117
39441127+516
49513129+316
59432126+615
69432128+415
794231515014
894231612+414
99414109+113
10933399012
119333109+112
129333810-212
1393241817+111
1493241316-311
1593151019-910
15200202-20
16914447-37
179135914-56
189009330-270
Second League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Vihren96302181321WD
2CSKA Sofia II95221981117WD
3Fratria9441127516WL
4Yantra 20199513129316LL
5Chernomorets 1919 Burgas9432126615WD
6Beroe9432128415LW
7Etar Veliko Tarnovo94231515014WW
8Nesebar94231612414L
9Marek9414109113LW
10Ludogorets II933399012WW
11Rilski Sportist Samokov9333109112
12Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa9333810-212LD
13Hebar 191893241817111LL
14Montana93241316-311D
15Spartak Pleven93151019-910WW
15Rilski Sportist200202-20LL
16Sportist Svoge914447-37DD
17Dobrudzha9135914-56DW
18Pirin Blagoevgrad9009330-270LL