JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction - September 2, 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
JEF United Chiba
1:2
Fagiano Okayama
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.30Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.75price falling, opened at 3.86
Draw3.44price falling, opened at 3.46
Away2.02price rising, opened at 1.98

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.34price rising, opened at 1.29
Under 1.53.22price rising, opened at 3.08
Over 2.52.13price rising, opened at 2.02
Under 2.51.72price falling, opened at 1.79
Over 3.54.02price rising, opened at 3.30
Under 3.51.25
Both teams to score
Yes1.90price rising, opened at 1.81
No1.90
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home +0.252.07
Away -0.251.75price rising, opened at 1.64

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Fagiano Okayama are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • JEF United Chiba and Fagiano Okayama average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.6%Projected
  2. 0-111.1%Alternative
  3. 1-08.9%
  4. 1-28.9%
  5. 0-07.8%

Top five combined: 49.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeJEF United ChibaxG1.13
AwayFagiano OkayamaxG1.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.8%
8.9%
5.0%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
1
11%
13%
7.1%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
2
7.8%
8.9%
5.0%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
3.7%
4.2%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.3%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.3%48.7% No
Over 1.5 72.2%27.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.8%53.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.2%74.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

JEF United Chiba win and over 2.5 goals16.3%
JEF United Chiba win and both teams score13.7%
Fagiano Okayama win and over 2.5 goals24.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
JEF United Chiba or draw56.7%
Fagiano Okayama or draw69.7%
Either team wins73.6%
Draw no bet: JEF United Chiba41.1%
Draw no bet: Fagiano Okayama58.9%
JEF United Chiba win to nil16.5%
Fagiano Okayama win to nil24.3%
Team goals
JEF United Chiba to score67.8%
Fagiano Okayama to score75.6%
JEF United Chiba over 1.5 goals31.3%
Fagiano Okayama over 1.5 goals41.2%
JEF United Chiba clean sheet24.4%
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet32.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Confirmed formations

JEF United Chiba: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)Fagiano Okayama: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama
League Table

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15410154+1113
25401106+412
354011310+312
45320112+911
5531163+310
653025509
75221107+38
8522198+18
952128807
1052125507
11513198+16
12513189-16
13520368-26
1452031115-46
15512279-25
16511324-24
175113611-54
18510489-13
19502328-62
205005315-120
J1 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Machida Zelvia54101541113
2Kashiwa Reysol5401106412
3Kashima54011310312
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima5320112911
5Vissel Kobe531163310
6Cerezo Osaka53025509
7Mito Hollyhock522110738
8FC Tokyo52219818
9Yokohama F. Marinos52128807
10Fagiano Okayama52125507
11Kawasaki Frontale51319816
12Gamba Osaka513189-16
13Nagoya Grampus520368-26
14Urawa52031115-46
15Kyoto Sanga512279-25
16Shimizu S-pulse511324-24
17V-varen Nagasaki5113611-54
18Avispa Fukuoka510489-13
19Tokyo Verdy502328-62
20JEF United Chiba5005315-120