Flamengo vs Mirassol Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

2-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Over 1.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.18

Draw7.40

Away14.50

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.10

Under 1.55.00

Over 2.51.46

Under 2.52.39

Over 3.52.31

Under 3.51.61

Both teams to score

Yes2.18

No1.61

Odd/Even

Odd1.84

Even1.84

Handicap

Home -21.93

Away +21.82

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Mirassol?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Flamengo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 30, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Flamengo have won two of their last three meetings with Mirassol, including a 5-1 win just over two weeks ago, and that head-to-head pattern underpins Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick in Flamengo vs Mirassol on 2 September at 1.21, rated 48 percent. Mirassol sit 17th of 20 in a relegation fight.

The last three meetings produced eighteen goals

Flamengo's last three games against Mirassol read a 5-1 win, a 3-3 draw and a 2-1 win, eighteen goals across three matches and not one of them settled by a single goal alone. Flamengo's attack rating sits at 5.9 with a home scoring average of 2.2 a game, and Mirassol have shown they can score too even in defeat, netting in four of their own last five including a 1-1 draw with Santos and that 3-1 defeat at Cruzeiro.

Mirassol have been held scoreless once in their last five

The counter to an easy Over is that Mirassol's one blank this run, a 0-1 defeat at Gremio, shows their attack can be shut down entirely by a well-organised defence, and Flamengo have had quieter nights too, drawing 1-1 with Cruzeiro earlier this month. If Flamengo's shot-stopping holds up the way it did in that draw and Mirassol's away form stays as blunt as it was at Gremio, a low-scoring 1-0 is the way this pick fails despite the h2h history favouring goals.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

2-09.6%Projected
3-09.0%
2-18.7%
3-18.2%
1-06.8%

Top five combined: 42.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFlamengoxG2.81

AwayMirassolxG0.91

2.4%

6.8%

9.6%

9.0%

6.3%

3.6%

2.7%

2.2%

6.2%

8.7%

8.2%

5.7%

3.2%

2.4%

1.0%

2.8%

3.9%

3.7%

2.6%

1.5%

1.1%

0.3%

0.8%

1.2%

1.1%

0.8%

0.4%

0.3%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 56.0%44.0% No

Over 1.5 88.5%11.5% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 71.8%28.2% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 51.0%49.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Flamengo win and over 2.5 goals60.4%

Flamengo win and both teams score38.8%

Mirassol win and over 2.5 goals6.1%

Draw and under 2.5 goals8.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Flamengo or draw90.7%

Mirassol or draw23.2%

Either team wins86.1%

Draw no bet: Flamengo89.2%

Draw no bet: Mirassol10.8%

Flamengo win to nil38.0%

Mirassol win to nil3.6%

Team goals

Flamengo to score94.0%

Mirassol to score59.6%

Flamengo over 1.5 goals77.1%

Mirassol over 1.5 goals22.9%

Flamengo clean sheet40.4%

Mirassol clean sheet6.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.08

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Team news

Expected formations

Mirassol: 4-2-3-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Flamengo vs Mirassol

Head to Head

Flamengo vs Mirassol: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
August 16, 2026	Mirassol	1 - 5	Flamengo
December 6, 2025	Mirassol	3 - 3	Flamengo
August 9, 2025	Flamengo	2 - 1	Mirassol

League Table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	26	16	6	4	51	21	+30	54
2	Palmeiras	26	15	8	3	45	21	+24	53
3	Atletico Paranaense	26	13	6	7	38	28	+10	45
4	Fluminense	26	12	9	5	40	32	+8	45
5	Bahia	26	11	10	5	40	32	+8	43
6	Cruzeiro FC	26	12	6	8	38	37	+1	42
7	Cruzeiro	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3	30
7	Coritiba	26	10	7	9	34	35	-1	37
8	Atletico-MG	25	10	6	9	32	30	+2	36
9	RB Bragantino	25	10	5	10	31	28	+3	35
10	Sao Paulo	25	9	6	10	31	28	+3	33
11	Corinthians	26	8	9	9	27	26	+1	33
12	Santos	25	8	8	9	37	38	-1	32
13	Botafogo	25	8	7	10	37	40	-3	31
14	Vitoria	25	8	5	12	24	37	-13	29
15	Gremio	24	7	7	10	27	32	-5	28
16	Mirassol	26	7	7	12	29	40	-11	28
17	Vasco DA Gama	25	6	7	12	27	40	-13	25
18	Internacional	26	5	10	11	28	34	-6	25
19	Remo	26	5	8	13	30	43	-13	23
20	Chapecoense-sc	25	2	9	14	26	50	-24	15
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10

Relegation

Serie A - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Flamengo	26	16	6	4	51	21	30	54	DDWWL
2	Palmeiras	26	15	8	3	45	21	24	53	WLWWW
3	Atletico Paranaense	26	13	6	7	38	28	10	45	DWWWW
4	Fluminense	26	12	9	5	40	32	8	45	DDDDL
5	Bahia	26	11	10	5	40	32	8	43	DDDWW
6	Cruzeiro FC	26	12	6	8	38	37	1	42
7	Cruzeiro	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3	30	WLWDW
7	Coritiba	26	10	7	9	34	35	-1	37	LDLLW
8	Atletico-MG	25	10	6	9	32	30	2	36	WDWLW
9	RB Bragantino	25	10	5	10	31	28	3	35	DDWWW
10	Sao Paulo	25	9	6	10	31	28	3	33	DLLDL
11	Corinthians	26	8	9	9	27	26	1	33	DDWWW
12	Santos	25	8	8	9	37	38	-1	32	DLWLL
13	Botafogo	25	8	7	10	37	40	-3	31	WDWLD
14	Vitoria	25	8	5	12	24	37	-13	29	LLDWL
15	Gremio	24	7	7	10	27	32	-5	28	DLLWD
16	Mirassol	26	7	7	12	29	40	-11	28	WDWLW
17	Vasco DA Gama	25	6	7	12	27	40	-13	25	DLLLL
18	Internacional	26	5	10	11	28	34	-6	25	DLLLL
19	Remo	26	5	8	13	30	43	-13	23	LWLWL
20	Chapecoense-sc	25	2	9	14	26	50	-24	15
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10

Flamengo vs Mirassol Prediction - September 2, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Mirassol?

Match highlights

Match analysis

The last three meetings produced eighteen goals

Mirassol have been held scoreless once in their last five

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

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Expected formations

Head to Head

League Table