Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC Prediction - September 2, 2026

Persian Gulf Pro LeagueIranFull time
Esteghlal FC
1:1
Persepolis FC
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.45Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.89price falling, opened at 2.91
Draw2.92price falling, opened at 2.93
Away2.43price rising, opened at 2.41

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.52price rising, opened at 1.51
Under 1.52.36price falling, opened at 2.39
Over 2.52.49price rising, opened at 2.46
Under 2.51.42price falling, opened at 1.43
Over 3.54.95price rising, opened at 4.85
Under 3.51.11
Both teams to score
Yes2.01price falling, opened at 2.09
No1.70price rising, opened at 1.65
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +01.99price falling, opened at 2.01
Away +01.70price rising, opened at 1.69

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

Esteghlal are chasing the Persian Gulf Pro League title from top spot with eight games left, while Persepolis sit sixth in the European qualification race, and that motivation gap is central to Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick in Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC on 2 September at 1.45, rated 67 percent. Esteghlal have won four of their last five.

Esteghlal are top of the table chasing the title

Esteghlal sit first with 41 points and eight games left, and their form has followed the table position, four wins in five including a 4-0 win over Mes Shahr-e Babak and a 2-0 win over Sepahan. Persepolis have been far less settled, losing four of their last five before a 3-0 win over Malavan snapped the run, and sit sixth chasing a European place with a lower desperation reading than the hosts carry into this Tehran derby.

Both sides drew the reverse fixture 0-0

The counter to backing goals here is that the two sides' previous meeting, in December, finished goalless, and a Tehran derby of this scale can just as easily tighten up under the occasion as open up. Esteghlal's one blank this run was a 0-0 draw at Foolad, so if the pressure of the fixture produces the same caution it did last time these two met, a repeat 0-0 or 1-0 is the way Over 1.5 fails despite the form lines favouring goals.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.5%Projected
  2. 2-18.6%Alternative
  3. 1-28.2%
  4. 1-08.1%
  5. 0-17.8%

Top five combined: 44.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeEsteghlal FCxG1.48
AwayPersepolis FCxG1.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.4%
8.1%
6.0%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
1
7.8%
12%
8.6%
4.2%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
5.5%
8.2%
6.1%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
3
2.6%
3.9%
2.9%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.9%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 58.8%41.2% No
Over 1.5 78.7%21.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 55.6%44.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 33.3%66.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Esteghlal FC win and over 2.5 goals24.9%
Esteghlal FC win and both teams score20.4%
Persepolis FC win and over 2.5 goals23.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Esteghlal FC or draw63.7%
Persepolis FC or draw61.0%
Either team wins75.3%
Draw no bet: Esteghlal FC51.8%
Draw no bet: Persepolis FC48.2%
Esteghlal FC win to nil18.6%
Persepolis FC win to nil17.2%
Team goals
Esteghlal FC to score77.3%
Persepolis FC to score76.0%
Esteghlal FC over 1.5 goals43.7%
Persepolis FC over 1.5 goals41.7%
Esteghlal FC clean sheet24.0%
Persepolis FC clean sheet22.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC
Head to Head

Head to Head

Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
December 5, 2025Persepolis FC0 - 0Esteghlal FC
League Table

League Table

Persian Gulf Pro LeagueIran · 2025/2026
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12211832916+1341
22210933012+1839
32211652413+1139
42310672424036
5229852719+835
6229762319+434
72271052116+531
8238692527-230
9237882224-229
10227871321-829
11226791623-725
12235991521-624
132331371519-422
142257101421-722
152131081219-719
162236131329-1615
Champions LeagueRelegation
Persian Gulf Pro League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Esteghlal FC22118329161341WWWLW
2Tractor Sazi22109330121839WDLWW
3Sepahan FC22116524131139DWWLD
4Gol Gohar2310672424036LLLWL
5Chadormalu SC229852719835WWWWW
6Persepolis FC229762319434LLLLW
7Foolad FC2271052116531WWWDW
8Fajr Sepasi238692527-230LWLWL
9Kheybar Khorramabad237882224-229LWWLD
10Malavan227871321-829DLWLW
11Esteghlal Khuzestan226791623-725LWWDL
12Paykan235991521-624DDLLW
13Shams Azar Qazvin2331371519-422LLDLW
14Aluminium Arak2257101421-722DDWDL
15ZOB Ahan2131081219-719LLWDD
16Mes Rafsanjan2236131329-1615LWLLD