Dongen vs JOS Watergraafsmeer Prediction - September 2, 2026

KNVB BekerNetherlandsFull time
Dongen
2:4
JOS Watergraafsmeer
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.52.05Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.63price falling, opened at 1.64
Draw4.45price rising, opened at 4.35
Away4.26price falling, opened at 4.27

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.04
Under 1.57.10price rising, opened at 6.95
Over 2.51.26price falling, opened at 1.27
Under 2.53.20price rising, opened at 3.14
Over 3.51.76price falling, opened at 1.79
Under 3.52.01price rising, opened at 1.97
Both teams to score
Yes1.33price falling, opened at 1.34
No3.04price rising, opened at 2.99
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.85
Handicap
Home -11.97
Away +11.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Dongen vs JOS Watergraafsmeer?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: JOS Watergraafsmeer are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Dongen and JOS Watergraafsmeer average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-29.5%Projected
  2. 1-19.5%Alternative
  3. 0-27.2%
  4. 0-17.2%
  5. 1-36.4%

Top five combined: 39.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeDongenxG1.32
AwayJOS WatergraafsmeerxG2.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.6%
4.7%
3.1%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
7.2%
9.5%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
2
7.2%
9.5%
6.3%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
3
4.9%
6.4%
4.2%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
4
2.4%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
1.0%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 63.5%36.5% No
Over 1.5 84.6%15.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 64.8%35.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 42.7%57.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Dongen win and over 2.5 goals17.1%
Dongen win and both teams score15.1%
JOS Watergraafsmeer win and over 2.5 goals39.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals13.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Dongen or draw46.4%
JOS Watergraafsmeer or draw75.1%
Either team wins78.5%
Draw no bet: Dongen31.7%
Draw no bet: JOS Watergraafsmeer68.3%
Dongen win to nil9.8%
JOS Watergraafsmeer win to nil23.2%
Team goals
Dongen to score73.3%
JOS Watergraafsmeer to score86.7%
Dongen over 1.5 goals38.0%
JOS Watergraafsmeer over 1.5 goals59.8%
Dongen clean sheet13.3%
JOS Watergraafsmeer clean sheet26.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Dongen vs JOS Watergraafsmeer