Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath Prediction - September 19, 2026

ChampionshipScotlandFull time
Stenhousemuir
1:0
Arbroath
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:2-0

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.41Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.04price rising, opened at 1.90
Draw3.41price rising, opened at 3.06
Away3.73price falling, opened at 3.94

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.50price rising, opened at 1.37
Under 1.52.61price falling, opened at 2.66
Over 2.52.42price rising, opened at 2.20
Under 2.51.56price falling, opened at 1.57
Over 3.54.64price rising, opened at 3.92
Under 3.51.19price rising, opened at 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes2.15price rising, opened at 1.97
No1.70price falling, opened at 1.73
Odd/Even
Odd1.90price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.90price rising, opened at 1.79
Handicap
Home -0.251.78price rising, opened at 1.62
Away +0.252.04price falling, opened at 2.09

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Stenhousemuir are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Stenhousemuir won 4 of their last 5 matches; Arbroath won 2 of 5.
  • Stenhousemuir average 1.2 goals per match against 0.8 for Arbroath.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-017.1%Our score
  2. 2-012.4%Alternative
  3. 1-111.6%
  4. 0-011.0%
  5. 2-19.7%

Top five combined: 61.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeStenhousemuirxG1.49
AwayArbroathxG0.64
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
17%
12%
6.0%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.2%
12%
9.7%
4.2%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
2.4%
3.8%
3.1%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
0.6%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 39.9%60.1% No
Over 1.5 64.7%35.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 38.4%61.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.2%81.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Stenhousemuir win and over 2.5 goals28.0%
Stenhousemuir win and both teams score18.8%
Arbroath win and over 2.5 goals6.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals22.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Stenhousemuir or draw83.7%
Arbroath or draw42.5%
Either team wins73.8%
Draw no bet: Stenhousemuir77.9%
Draw no bet: Arbroath22.1%
Stenhousemuir win to nil38.7%
Arbroath win to nil10.3%
Team goals
Stenhousemuir to score78.7%
Arbroath to score50.3%
Stenhousemuir over 1.5 goals45.0%
Arbroath over 1.5 goals15.5%
Stenhousemuir clean sheet49.7%
Arbroath clean sheet21.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath
Head to Head

Head to Head

Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 12, 2025Arbroath4 - 0Stenhousemuir
League Table

League Table

ChampionshipScotland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16510102+816
26411113+813
3632152+311
4630385+39
5623154+19
6722378-18
7622248-48
8613257-26
97115311-84
106015412-81
Relegation
Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Stenhousemuir6510102816D
2Raith Rovers6411113813D
3Partick632152311W
4Livingston63038539W
5Dunfermline62315419D
6Ayr Utd722378-18W
7Arbroath622248-48L
8Inverness CT613257-26D
9Queen's Park7115311-84L
10Morton6015412-81L