Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki Prediction - September 19, 2026

J2 LeagueJapanFull time
Sagan Tosu
1:3
Iwaki
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.32Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.85price falling, opened at 1.88
Draw3.33price rising, opened at 3.26
Away4.37price rising, opened at 3.73

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36price rising, opened at 1.25
Under 1.53.00price falling, opened at 3.28
Over 2.52.21price rising, opened at 1.87
Under 2.51.67price falling, opened at 1.80
Over 3.53.71price rising, opened at 3.14
Under 3.51.25price falling, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes2.02price rising, opened at 1.74
No1.74price falling, opened at 1.96
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.752.06
Away +0.751.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Sagan Tosu and Iwaki average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-012.8%Our score
  2. 1-111.7%Alternative
  3. 2-010.9%
  4. 2-110.2%
  5. 0-07.8%

Top five combined: 53.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSagan TosuxG1.67
AwayIwakixG0.85
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.8%
13%
11%
6.3%
2.9%
1.0%
0.4%
1
6.2%
12%
10%
5.5%
2.5%
0.8%
0.3%
2
2.5%
4.7%
4.2%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
3
0.8%
1.3%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 48.3%51.7% No
Over 1.5 73.3%26.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 48.1%51.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.1%73.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sagan Tosu win and over 2.5 goals34.1%
Sagan Tosu win and both teams score23.6%
Iwaki win and over 2.5 goals9.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sagan Tosu or draw82.2%
Iwaki or draw42.2%
Either team wins75.6%
Draw no bet: Sagan Tosu76.5%
Draw no bet: Iwaki23.5%
Sagan Tosu win to nil34.2%
Iwaki win to nil9.7%
Team goals
Sagan Tosu to score82.5%
Iwaki to score58.0%
Sagan Tosu over 1.5 goals51.6%
Iwaki over 1.5 goals20.8%
Sagan Tosu clean sheet42.0%
Iwaki clean sheet17.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki
Head to Head

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 28, 2025Sagan Tosu1 - 0Iwaki
League Table

League Table

J2 LeagueJapan · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
17502910-115
27412135+813
37412138+513
47340116+513
5733176+112
66321106+411
77322118+311
86312137+610
9731399010
10731358-310
11730486+29
12723298+19
1373041113-29
147223910-18
15722389-18
16714265+17
177214510-57
187214311-87
197124814-65
207115615-94
Relegation
J2 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Albirex Niigata7502910-115
2Kataller Toyama7412135813
3Yokohama FC7412138513
4Omiya Ardija7340116513
5Shonan Bellmare733176112
6Vegalta Sendai6321106411
7Fujieda MYFC7322118311
8Tochigi City6312137610
9Jubilo Iwata731399010
10Tokushima Vortis731358-310
11Montedio Yamagata73048629
12Blaublitz Akita72329819
13Iwaki73041113-29
14Tegevajaro Miyazaki7223910-18
15Sagan Tosu722389-18
16Oita Trinita71426517
17Ventforet Kofu7214510-57
18Vanraure Hachinohe7214311-87
19Consadole Sapporo7124814-65
20Imabari7115615-94