Louisville City vs Loudoun United Prediction - September 19, 2026

USL ChampionshipUSAFull time
Louisville City
2:1
Loudoun United
Correct scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.68Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.36price falling, opened at 1.40
Draw4.65price rising, opened at 4.50
Away6.43price rising, opened at 5.89

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.09
Under 1.55.25price falling, opened at 5.40
Over 2.51.43price rising, opened at 1.41
Under 2.52.46price falling, opened at 2.52
Over 3.52.17price rising, opened at 2.13
Under 3.51.59price falling, opened at 1.61
Both teams to score
Yes1.61price rising, opened at 1.57
No2.15price falling, opened at 2.23
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -1.251.81price falling, opened at 1.89
Away +1.251.81price rising, opened at 1.74

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Loudoun United?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Louisville City are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Louisville City and Loudoun United average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-010.7%Our score
  2. 1-011.1%Alternative
  3. 2-110.4%
  4. 1-19.6%
  5. 3-07.3%

Top five combined: 49.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLouisville CityxG2.05
AwayLoudoun UnitedxG0.87
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.1%
11%
11%
7.3%
4.2%
1.9%
0.9%
1
4.5%
9.6%
10%
6.6%
3.5%
1.5%
0.7%
2
1.9%
4.1%
4.2%
3.2%
1.5%
0.6%
0.3%
3
0.7%
1.2%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.5%48.5% No
Over 1.5 79.3%20.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.1%42.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.7%65.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Louisville City win and over 2.5 goals43.5%
Louisville City win and both teams score29.1%
Loudoun United win and over 2.5 goals8.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Louisville City or draw85.1%
Loudoun United or draw34.7%
Either team wins80.1%
Draw no bet: Louisville City81.4%
Draw no bet: Loudoun United18.6%
Louisville City win to nil36.1%
Loudoun United win to nil7.3%
Team goals
Louisville City to score87.6%
Loudoun United to score58.7%
Louisville City over 1.5 goals61.2%
Loudoun United over 1.5 goals22.0%
Louisville City clean sheet41.3%
Loudoun United clean sheet12.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.60

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Louisville City vs Loudoun United
Head to Head

Head to Head

Louisville City vs Loudoun United: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 10, 2026Loudoun United3 - 3Louisville City
June 25, 2025Loudoun United1 - 4Louisville City
May 31, 2025Loudoun United2 - 1Louisville City
League Table

League Table

USL ChampionshipUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12413474130+1143
11811523319+1438
2189363724+1330
22312653727+1042
32411494037+337
3178452517+828
4188373231+127
42310672721+636
5188282020026
5239953020+1036
6249963434036
6195772431-722
7249962928+136
7166462519+622
8166371920-121
824104103730+734
9174851216-420
9248973432+233
102495103134-332
10173952129-818
11173861821-317
11246992935-627
122446142542-1718
121734101732-1513
131915132351-288
USL Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1El Paso Locomotive24134741301143LWLWL
1Tampa Bay Rowdies18115233191438WWDLW
2Charleston Battery1893637241330WLDLW
2New Mexico United23126537271042WWWWD
3Colorado Springs2411494037337LWWWL
3Detroit City178452517828DLWWW
4Louisville City188373231127LWLWD
4FC Tulsa2310672721636WDWLW
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds188282020026WLLWL
5Sacramento Republic2399530201036WWDWL
6Orange County SC249963434036WWDDW
6Miami FC195772431-722DLLWD
7San Antonio249962928136WWLDW
7Rhode Island166462519622LWWLD
8Indy Eleven166371920-121LLLLW
8Lexington24104103730734WDWLW
9Hartford Athletic174851216-420LDLDL
9Phoenix Rising248973432233DDWLL
10Las Vegas Lights2495103134-332DWWLL
10Loudoun United173952129-818WWDDL
11Birmingham Legion173861821-317WLDLD
11Oakland Roots246992935-627LLLLW
12Monterey Bay2446142542-1718LLLDW
12Brooklyn1734101732-1513LLDWL
13Sporting JAX1915132351-288LLDWD