Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja Prediction - September 19, 2026

Liga NacionalHondurasFull time
Atlético Choloma
2:0
Estrella Roja
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.28Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.51price rising, opened at 2.35
Draw3.46price rising, opened at 3.13
Away2.62price falling, opened at 2.66

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25price rising, opened at 1.24
Under 1.53.75price rising, opened at 3.34
Over 2.51.81price falling, opened at 1.85
Under 2.52.00price rising, opened at 1.82
Over 3.52.82price falling, opened at 3.08
Under 3.51.40price rising, opened at 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes1.74price rising, opened at 1.66
No2.02price falling, opened at 2.05
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.78
Handicap
Home +01.90price rising, opened at 1.73
Away +01.90price falling, opened at 1.94

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Atlético Choloma are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Atlético Choloma and Estrella Roja average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.7%Our score
  2. 2-18.6%Alternative
  3. 1-08.5%
  4. 0-17.5%
  5. 1-27.3%

Top five combined: 42.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAtlético CholomaxG1.53
AwayEstrella RojaxG1.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.3%
8.5%
6.4%
3.8%
1.5%
0.9%
0.3%
1
7.5%
11%
8.6%
4.5%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
2
4.7%
7.3%
5.6%
3.3%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
3
2.3%
3.4%
2.7%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
0.8%
1.2%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.6%42.4% No
Over 1.5 78.8%21.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.1%42.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 35.1%64.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Atlético Choloma win and over 2.5 goals29.1%
Atlético Choloma win and both teams score22.6%
Estrella Roja win and over 2.5 goals20.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Atlético Choloma or draw67.1%
Estrella Roja or draw56.0%
Either team wins76.9%
Draw no bet: Atlético Choloma57.2%
Draw no bet: Estrella Roja42.8%
Atlético Choloma win to nil21.4%
Estrella Roja win to nil15.7%
Team goals
Atlético Choloma to score79.1%
Estrella Roja to score73.3%
Atlético Choloma over 1.5 goals47.5%
Estrella Roja over 1.5 goals38.8%
Atlético Choloma clean sheet26.7%
Estrella Roja clean sheet20.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Won

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja
League Table

League Table

Liga NacionalHonduras · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
17520123+917
17421157+814
27412117+413
27430124+815
3825165+111
38323106+411
482331316-39
472327709
58224712-58
5821568-27
67106517-123
68125618-125
Liga Nacional - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CD Marathon7520123917
1CD Olimpia7421157814W
2CD Motagua7412117413W
2Real Espana7430124815W
3Olancho825165111W
3Génesis8323106411W
4Estrella Roja82331316-39L
4Atletico Independiente72327709
5Lobos Upnfm8224712-58L
5Atlético Choloma821568-27L
6Juticalpa7106517-123L
6Platense FC8125618-125L