Waalwijk vs MVV Maastricht Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

2-1

Alternative:2-0

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.19Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.59

Draw4.17

Away4.97

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.13

Under 1.55.50

Over 2.51.45

Under 2.52.63

Over 3.52.13

Under 3.51.67

Both teams to score

Yes1.54

No2.38

Odd/Even

Odd1.93

Even1.82

Handicap

Home -11.98

Away +11.82

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Waalwijk vs MVV Maastricht?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Waalwijk are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 15, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

Waalwijk average 3.0 goals per match against 0.8 for MVV Maastricht.
Waalwijk won 3 of their last 5 matches; MVV Maastricht won 1 of 5.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

2-19.5%Our score
2-08.5%Alternative
1-07.8%
1-17.6%
3-17.3%

Top five combined: 40.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeWaalwijkxG2.50

AwayMVV MaastrichtxG1.09

3.2%

7.8%

8.5%

6.8%

4.5%

2.4%

1.5%

3.3%

7.6%

9.5%

7.3%

4.5%

2.2%

1.4%

1.7%

4.3%

4.9%

4.3%

2.4%

1.2%

0.7%

0.8%

1.6%

1.8%

1.4%

0.9%

0.4%

0.3%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.1%

<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 59.3%40.7% No

Over 1.5 85.7%14.3% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 67.9%32.1% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 46.6%53.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Waalwijk win and over 2.5 goals50.4%

Waalwijk win and both teams score35.3%

MVV Maastricht win and over 2.5 goals10.8%

Draw and under 2.5 goals10.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Waalwijk or draw84.2%

MVV Maastricht or draw33.2%

Either team wins82.6%

Draw no bet: Waalwijk80.8%

Draw no bet: MVV Maastricht19.2%

Waalwijk win to nil31.4%

MVV Maastricht win to nil6.1%

Team goals

Waalwijk to score90.7%

MVV Maastricht to score65.4%

Waalwijk over 1.5 goals68.7%

MVV Maastricht over 1.5 goals29.6%

Waalwijk clean sheet34.6%

MVV Maastricht clean sheet9.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Waalwijk: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)MVV Maastricht: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Waalwijk vs MVV Maastricht

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	7	6	0	1	24	10	+14	18
2	Almere City FC	7	5	1	1	16	4	+12	16
3	VVV Venlo	7	5	0	2	19	11	+8	15
4	Waalwijk	7	3	4	0	18	9	+9	13
5	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	13	9	+4	13
6	MVV Maastricht	7	4	1	2	10	15	-5	13
7	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	22	17	+5	13
8	Roda	7	3	3	1	7	5	+2	12
9	Emmen	7	4	0	3	17	17	0	12
10	Jong PSV	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
11	FC Eindhoven	7	3	1	3	11	13	-2	10
12	FC Volendam	7	3	0	4	17	14	+3	9
13	Helmond Sport	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
14	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	13	22	-9	8
15	NAC Breda	6	2	1	3	11	14	-3	7
16	Den Bosch	7	2	1	4	12	16	-4	7
17	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	15	21	-6	7
18	FC OSS	7	2	0	5	8	12	-4	6
19	De Graafschap	6	1	1	4	7	18	-11	4
20	Dordrecht	7	1	1	5	9	21	-12	4

Eerste Divisie - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Heracles	7	6	0	1	24	10	14	18
2	Almere City FC	7	5	1	1	16	4	12	16
3	VVV Venlo	7	5	0	2	19	11	8	15
4	Waalwijk	7	3	4	0	18	9	9	13
5	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	13	9	4	13
6	MVV Maastricht	7	4	1	2	10	15	-5	13
7	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	22	17	5	13
8	Roda	7	3	3	1	7	5	2	12
9	Emmen	7	4	0	3	17	17	0	12
10	Jong PSV	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
11	FC Eindhoven	7	3	1	3	11	13	-2	10
12	FC Volendam	7	3	0	4	17	14	3	9
13	Helmond Sport	7	2	2	3	13	12	1	8
14	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	13	22	-9	8
15	NAC Breda	6	2	1	3	11	14	-3	7
16	Den Bosch	7	2	1	4	12	16	-4	7
17	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	15	21	-6	7
18	FC OSS	7	2	0	5	8	12	-4	6
19	De Graafschap	6	1	1	4	7	18	-11	4
20	Dordrecht	7	1	1	5	9	21	-12	4