Patriotas vs Union Magdalena Prediction - September 18, 2026

Primera BColombiaFull time
Patriotas
1:2
Union Magdalena
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.17price rising, opened at 2.06
Draw3.27price rising, opened at 2.99
Away3.32price falling, opened at 3.49

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.42price rising, opened at 1.38
Under 1.52.75price rising, opened at 2.63
Over 2.52.22price rising, opened at 2.20
Under 2.51.62price rising, opened at 1.57
Over 3.53.71price falling, opened at 3.95
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.17
Both teams to score
Yes2.11price rising, opened at 1.93
No1.68price falling, opened at 1.76
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.79
Handicap
Home -0.251.85price rising, opened at 1.75
Away +0.251.95price rising, opened at 1.91

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Patriotas vs Union Magdalena?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Patriotas are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Why this prediction

  • Patriotas and Union Magdalena average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-014.8%Our score
  2. 1-113.2%Alternative
  3. 0-010.9%
  4. 2-09.9%
  5. 2-19.3%

Top five combined: 58.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePatriotasxG1.39
AwayUnion MagdalenaxG0.82
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
15%
9.9%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.8%
13%
9.3%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
3.5%
5.3%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
1.0%
1.4%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 44.3%55.7% No
Over 1.5 65.6%34.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 38.9%61.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.9%81.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Patriotas win and over 2.5 goals24.5%
Patriotas win and both teams score18.0%
Union Magdalena win and over 2.5 goals9.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Patriotas or draw77.9%
Union Magdalena or draw50.8%
Either team wins71.3%
Draw no bet: Patriotas69.0%
Draw no bet: Union Magdalena31.0%
Patriotas win to nil31.2%
Union Magdalena win to nil13.6%
Team goals
Patriotas to score75.5%
Union Magdalena to score57.9%
Patriotas over 1.5 goals40.5%
Union Magdalena over 1.5 goals20.8%
Patriotas clean sheet42.1%
Union Magdalena clean sheet24.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Prediction, preview and head to head: Patriotas vs Union Magdalena
League Table

League Table

Primera BColombia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13115885035+1553
22915863827+1153
32914963018+1251
43014884028+1250
52914694028+1248
629108112725+238
7239952316+736
8249782929034
92997133539-434
1029810112330-734
11236982727027
11154561317-417
12226791723-625
13235992530-524
1415249824-1610
142358102432-823
162338122037-1717
Primera B - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Real Cartagena31158850351553DLLLW
2Internacional Palmira29158638271153WWWWW
3Quindio29149630181251WWLDW
4Envigado30148840281250DWWWL
5Union Magdalena29146940281248WLWWW
6Tigres FC29108112725238LWWLD
7Ind. Yumbo239952316736DDLWL
8Patriotas249782929034LWWLD
9Barranquilla2997133539-434WLWLW
10Bogota FC29810112330-734WWDWL
11Real Soacha236982727027DLDLD
11Patriotas Boyacá154561317-417
12Orsomarso226791723-625DLLDW
13Popayan235992530-524LDDDD
14Leones FC15249824-1610DWLLL
14Depor FC2358102432-823LLLDW
16Real Santander2338122037-1717LLLLL