Groningen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction - September 18, 2026
Alternative:1-1
Goals: Under 3.51.72
What is the prediction for Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Groningen are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
A combined 3.2 goals a game is what Groningen and PEC Zwolle are producing this season, and Superior backs that gap to keep Under 3.5 goals alive at 1.72 when they meet on 18 September, priced at 59 percent. Both sides have also played much higher-scoring matches recently, so the total is closer than the price alone suggests.
Groningen and PEC Zwolle average 3.2 combined goals a game
That season-long rate, built from each side's measured scoring and conceding strength, sits under the 3.5 line Superior has backed here, with a 1.72 price that needs about 58 percent to break even against the model's own 59 percent read. Groningen have scored 2.0 goals a game themselves, while PEC Zwolle's 1.2 is the more modest of the two, and it is PEC Zwolle's attack rather than Groningen's defense that keeps the season total under the line.
Seven goals in one game is what broke PEC Zwolle open last time
That result alone would have blown past this line on its own, and four of Groningen's last five matches have produced five or more combined goals too. If either defense repeats one of those recent blowouts instead of the calmer matches mixed in between, this Under fails, and it is PEC Zwolle's defense, shipping fifteen goals in their last five matches, that carries the bigger share of that risk.
AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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2 selections at 1.70
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Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 13, 2026 | PEC Zwolle | 1 - 1 | Groningen |
| November 23, 2025 | Groningen | 2 - 2 | PEC Zwolle |
| May 18, 2025 | PEC Zwolle | 2 - 0 | Groningen |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +15 | 16 | ||
| 2 | 6 | +11 | 16 | ||
| 3 | 6 | +13 | 14 | ||
| 4 | 6 | +7 | 13 | ||
| 5 | 5 | +8 | 10 | ||
| 6 | 6 | +6 | 10 | ||
| 7 | 6 | -2 | 10 | ||
| 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 | ||
| 9 | 6 | -1 | 8 | ||
| 10 | 6 | -1 | 7 | ||
| 11 | 6 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 12 | 6 | -3 | 5 | ||
| 13 | 6 | -6 | 5 | ||
| 14 | 6 | -8 | 5 | ||
| 15 | 6 | -9 | 4 | ||
| 16 | 6 | -11 | 4 | ||
| 17 | 5 | -9 | 2 | ||
| 18 | 6 | -10 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | |
| 4 | Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | |
| 5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 10 | |
| 6 | Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | |
| 9 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | |
| 10 | NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | |
| 13 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | |
| 14 | Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | |
| 15 | Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | |
| 17 | Willem II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2 | |
| 18 | ADO Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |