Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction - September 18, 2026
Alternative:2-1
Goals: Over 1.51.20
What is the prediction for Brentford vs Chelsea?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Chelsea are scoring 3.0 goals a game this season and Brentford 2.6, a combined rate that has Superior backing Over 1.5 goals at 1.20 for their meeting on 18 September, priced at 82 percent. Two of the last three head-to-head meetings between these sides also cleared this line comfortably.
Chelsea are scoring 3.0 goals a game this season
That rate has shown up recently too, with a 6-3 win and a 4-3 win inside their last five matches, while Brentford have scored thirteen goals in their own last five including a 6-1 away win. Two of the last three head-to-head meetings passed this line comfortably, a 2-2 draw and a 0-2 Chelsea win, and the one exception was a 0-0 draw eighteen months ago that neither side's current attack resembles.
Neither attack turned up the last time these two met
That result is the clearest evidence this line can fail, and both defenses have had quiet nights too: Brentford kept a clean sheet in their last home game and Chelsea's own defense has conceded ten goals in five matches but also shut out an opponent as recently as their last outing. If either side's attack goes quiet the way it did in that scoreless meeting, the goals needed to clear 1.5 simply do not arrive.
AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 17, 2026 | Chelsea | 2 - 0 | Brentford |
| September 13, 2025 | Brentford | 2 - 2 | Chelsea |
| April 6, 2025 | Brentford | 0 - 0 | Chelsea |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +7 | 12 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +6 | 12 | ||
| 3 | 4 | +3 | 8 | ||
| 4 | 4 | +8 | 7 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 4 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 7 | 4 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 8 | 4 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 9 | 4 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 10 | 3 | +2 | 5 | ||
| 11 | 3 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 4 | ||
| 14 | 4 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 15 | 4 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 16 | 4 | -5 | 3 | ||
| 17 | 4 | -5 | 2 | ||
| 18 | 4 | -3 | 1 | ||
| 19 | 4 | -6 | 1 | ||
| 20 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 | |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 12 | |
| 3 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 4 | Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | |
| 5 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | |
| 7 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 8 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| 9 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | |
| 10 | Newcastle United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 12 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 | |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | |
| 20 | Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
