Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.26Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.30

Draw3.24

Away3.20

Market move since Sep 17. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.34

Under 1.53.22

Over 2.52.27

Under 2.51.63

Over 3.54.02

Under 3.51.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.81

No2.00

Odd/Even

Odd1.93

Even1.82

Handicap

Home -0.251.98

Away +0.251.82

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 16, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-113.8%Our score
1-011.7%Alternative
0-19.3%
2-19.0%
0-08.8%

Top five combined: 52.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBucaramangaxG1.28

AwayIndependiente MedellinxG1.09

8.8%

12%

7.4%

3.3%

1.1%

0.3%

<0.1%

9.3%

14%

9.0%

3.8%

1.2%

0.3%

<0.1%

4.9%

7.1%

5.0%

2.2%

0.7%

0.2%

<0.1%

1.8%

2.4%

1.8%

0.8%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.5%

0.7%

0.4%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.5%49.5% No

Over 1.5 70.2%29.8% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 44.1%55.9% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 22.8%77.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Bucaramanga win and over 2.5 goals22.7%

Bucaramanga win and both teams score17.9%

Independiente Medellin win and over 2.5 goals15.5%

Draw and under 2.5 goals22.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Bucaramanga or draw70.3%

Independiente Medellin or draw58.2%

Either team wins71.5%

Draw no bet: Bucaramanga58.5%

Draw no bet: Independiente Medellin41.5%

Bucaramanga win to nil23.9%

Independiente Medellin win to nil16.7%

Team goals

Bucaramanga to score74.5%

Independiente Medellin to score67.3%

Bucaramanga over 1.5 goals38.6%

Independiente Medellin over 1.5 goals29.7%

Bucaramanga clean sheet32.7%

Independiente Medellin clean sheet25.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin

Head to Head

Independiente Medellin

1 - 2

Bucaramanga

March 1, 2026

Independiente Medellin

3 - 1

Bucaramanga

January 13, 2026

Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin

May 10, 2025

Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
March 1, 2026	Independiente Medellin	1 - 2	Bucaramanga
January 13, 2026	Independiente Medellin	3 - 1	Bucaramanga
October 29, 2025	Independiente Medellin	3 - 0	Bucaramanga
May 10, 2025	Bucaramanga	2 - 0	Independiente Medellin

League Table

Primera AColombia · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25	15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28
8	La Equidad FC	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26
12	Rionegro Aguilas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17
17	Alianza Petrolera	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16
19	Cúcuta Deportivo	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17	10

Primera A - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	20	40	WWLWW
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	7	35	LLLWW
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	4	34	LLLLL
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25	15	10	33	WWLDW
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	9	33	DWDLW
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	10	31	WWLLW
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	7	29	DLLDW
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28	LLLLW
8	La Equidad FC	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	4	27	LWDWL
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	8	26	WLDWL
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WWLWW
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26	WWWDL
12	Rionegro Aguilas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	6	23	DWLDL
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3	22	DWLDL
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22	DDWLL
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13	18	LLWDL
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17	LDDDL
17	Alianza Petrolera	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17	17	LWLLW
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16	LLDLW
19	Cúcuta Deportivo	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17	10	DLLWL

Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin Prediction - September 17, 2026

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What is the prediction for Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin?

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