Sampaio Correa vs Madureira Prediction - September 16, 2026

Copa RioBrazilFull time
Sampaio Correa
1:1
Madureira
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.23Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.14price rising, opened at 2.04
Draw3.40price rising, opened at 2.94
Away3.24price falling, opened at 3.58

Market move since Sep 16. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.45price rising, opened at 1.40
Under 1.52.63price rising, opened at 2.56
Over 2.52.31
Under 2.51.57price rising, opened at 1.52
Over 3.53.98price falling, opened at 4.30
Under 3.51.22price rising, opened at 1.15
Both teams to score
Yes2.21price rising, opened at 1.99
No1.62price falling, opened at 1.71
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.77
Handicap
Home -0.251.82price rising, opened at 1.75
Away +0.251.98price rising, opened at 1.92

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sampaio Correa vs Madureira?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Sampaio Correa and Madureira average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-017.9%Our score
  2. 0-012.6%Alternative
  3. 1-112.1%
  4. 2-011.1%
  5. 0-18.8%

Top five combined: 62.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSampaio CorreaxG1.27
AwayMadureiraxG0.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13%
18%
11%
5.2%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
1
8.8%
12%
8.5%
3.9%
1.3%
0.4%
<0.1%
2
2.8%
3.9%
2.8%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 38.0%62.0% No
Over 1.5 60.7%39.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 34.7%65.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.3%83.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sampaio Correa win and over 2.5 goals24.2%
Sampaio Correa win and both teams score16.4%
Madureira win and over 2.5 goals7.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sampaio Correa or draw81.2%
Madureira or draw46.8%
Either team wins72.0%
Draw no bet: Sampaio Correa73.9%
Draw no bet: Madureira26.1%
Sampaio Correa win to nil36.8%
Madureira win to nil12.6%
Team goals
Sampaio Correa to score74.7%
Madureira to score50.6%
Sampaio Correa over 1.5 goals39.5%
Madureira over 1.5 goals15.5%
Sampaio Correa clean sheet49.4%
Madureira clean sheet25.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.60

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Sampaio Correa vs Madureira