West Ham vs Fulham Prediction - September 15, 2026

League CupEnglandFull time
West Ham
2:3
Fulham
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.50Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.59price falling, opened at 3.26
Draw3.56price rising, opened at 3.54
Away2.59price rising, opened at 2.15

Market move since Sep 12. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.18
Under 1.54.96price rising, opened at 4.25
Over 2.51.65price falling, opened at 1.68
Under 2.52.23price rising, opened at 2.19
Over 3.52.52price falling, opened at 2.55
Under 3.51.52price rising, opened at 1.44
Both teams to score
Yes1.52price falling, opened at 1.54
No2.53price rising, opened at 2.35
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.89
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home +01.90
Away +01.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for West Ham vs Fulham?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: West Ham are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

West Ham have scored 3.4 goals a game across their last five matches, including a 6-0 win, yet Superior is not fading off Under 3.5 goals for this League Cup tie with Fulham on 15 September, priced at 1.5 and backed at 61 percent. Fulham's defence rates as one of the stronger units West Ham have faced in that run, and a step up in opposition quality tends to shrink a cup scoreline rather than repeat it.

Fulham's defence carries the best rating West Ham have faced this run

West Ham's last five results include a 6-0 win, a 3-2, a 3-0 and a 4-2, four matches in a row with three goals or more from West Ham alone, largely built in earlier cup rounds against weaker sides. Fulham's defence rating is the strongest of any opponent West Ham have faced in that stretch, and their away form backs it up: two wins in their last five including a 3-0 victory of their own, not the profile of a side that ships goals easily. A jump in opposition quality is usually where an inflated scoring run gets checked, and that is the case Superior's model is making here.

West Ham have not been held under two goals since August

The way this line loses is West Ham's cup form simply continuing regardless of the opponent, and there is little in their recent matches to suggest otherwise: four straight games with three or more goals scored, the mildest of them a 3-2. Fulham have also shown they can be opened up, conceding three in one of their last five away trips. If West Ham's attack treats this the same as their previous rounds, four goals arrives inside an hour. The case against that repeating is entirely about the opponent changing, not about West Ham's own form cooling off, which is the real risk sitting under this pick.

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.9%Projected
  2. 1-09.5%
  3. 1-19.5%Alternative
  4. 0-18.4%
  5. 1-28.0%

Top five combined: 45.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeWest HamxG1.27
AwayFulhamxG1.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.9%
9.5%
7.7%
3.9%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
1
8.4%
9.5%
9.9%
5.1%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
2
5.2%
8.0%
4.3%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
2.4%
3.2%
2.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.1%45.9% No
Over 1.5 77.1%22.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 54.7%45.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.5%69.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

West Ham win and over 2.5 goals29.1%
West Ham win and both teams score22.7%
Fulham win and over 2.5 goals20.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
West Ham or draw66.1%
Fulham or draw53.6%
Either team wins80.3%
Draw no bet: West Ham57.8%
Draw no bet: Fulham42.2%
West Ham win to nil23.7%
Fulham win to nil17.3%
Team goals
West Ham to score77.8%
Fulham to score71.4%
West Ham over 1.5 goals46.1%
Fulham over 1.5 goals35.9%
West Ham clean sheet28.6%
Fulham clean sheet22.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.70

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Team news

Confirmed formations

West Ham: 4-4-2(confirmed lineup)Fulham: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: West Ham vs Fulham
Head to Head

Head to Head

West Ham vs Fulham: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 4, 2026Fulham0 - 1West Ham
December 27, 2025West Ham0 - 1Fulham