Londrina vs Ponte Preta Prediction - September 15, 2026
Alternative:1-0
Goals: Under 3.51.45
What is the prediction for Londrina vs Ponte Preta?
The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Londrina are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Londrina sit 18th and Ponte Preta bottom of the table with eleven and twelve matches of Serie B left, and Superior reads that relegation pressure into a cagey scoreline on 15 September: Under 3.5 goals at 1.45, priced at 62 percent. Ponte Preta have failed to score in four of their last five matches.
Ponte Preta have not scored in four of their last five games
Ponte Preta sit bottom of the table on ten points with twelve matches left and a form line of four straight defeats, their attack blanked in four of their last five outings including a 0-6 defeat. Londrina are only three points and two places better off, occupying eighteenth with eleven games remaining, and their own scoring has been similarly rationed at 0.8 goals a game. Two teams fighting to avoid the drop rarely produce an open match, and the model's scoring rates here sit well below the total needed to trouble this line.
Londrina beat Ponte Preta 4-1 earlier this season
Under 3.5 loses only if the sides combine for four goals or more, and the two teams have already shown they can produce that: Londrina won the earlier meeting this season 4-1. The other three head-to-head results tell a different story, finishing 2-0, 0-0 and 0-1, all comfortably under this line. With both sides now needing points rather than goals for their own sake, and Ponte Preta having managed one goal or fewer in four of their last five matches, the tighter script from those three meetings looks the more likely repeat.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Ponte Preta | 1 - 4 | Londrina |
| October 25, 2025 | Ponte Preta | 2 - 0 | Londrina |
| October 18, 2025 | Londrina | 0 - 0 | Ponte Preta |
| August 30, 2025 | Ponte Preta | 1 - 0 | Londrina |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | +15 | 50 | ||
| 2 | 27 | +23 | 49 | ||
| 3 | 27 | +9 | 47 | ||
| 4 | 27 | +8 | 47 | ||
| 5 | 27 | +7 | 47 | ||
| 6 | 27 | +3 | 43 | ||
| 7 | 27 | +6 | 43 | ||
| 8 | 27 | +1 | 42 | ||
| 9 | 27 | +10 | 41 | ||
| 10 | 27 | +5 | 39 | ||
| 11 | 27 | +2 | 37 | ||
| 12 | 27 | +1 | 37 | ||
| 13 | 27 | -8 | 36 | ||
| 14 | 27 | +6 | 35 | ||
| 15 | 27 | -2 | 31 | ||
| 16 | 27 | -7 | 31 | ||
| 17 | 27 | -7 | 29 | ||
| 18 | 27 | -7 | 25 | ||
| 19 | 27 | -25 | 17 | ||
| 20 | 27 | -40 | 10 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventude | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 50 | WLWWD |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 | WLLLW |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 47 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Criciuma | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 47 | DWWWW |
| 6 | Operario-PR | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 | LWDWW |
| 7 | Atletico Goianiense | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 43 | WWDWL |
| 8 | CRB | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 41 | DDDDL |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 39 | DLLDW |
| 11 | Nautico Recife | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 | DWLLD |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 37 | DWDDL |
| 13 | Goias | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 36 | LDWDW |
| 14 | São Bernardo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 35 | LLDDL |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 31 | LWDDW |
| 16 | Ceara | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 31 | WLDDL |
| 17 | Avai | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 29 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 25 | LLDDW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 56 | -40 | 10 | DLLLL |