Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets Prediction - September 14, 2026
Alternative:2-0
Goals: Under 3.51.60
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Shakhtar Donetsk are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
A three day turnaround from a Champions League trip sits behind Shakhtar Donetsk's Under 3.5 goals pick against Chornomorets on 14 September, priced at 1.6 and rated 59 percent by the model. Between them the two sides are averaging just 1.8 goals a game.
The combined scoring rate here sits under two goals a game
Shakhtar Donetsk are averaging 1.2 goals a game domestically while Chornomorets sit at just 0.6, a combined 1.8 that leaves plenty of room under this Under 3.5 line. Chornomorets have been especially tight recently, drawing 0-0 and then winning 1-0 in their last two matches without conceding.
Shakhtar are three days removed from a Champions League trip
Shakhtar Donetsk played away in the Champions League just three days before this fixture, a short turnaround that can blunt a team's sharpness even against a lower ranked domestic opponent. That schedule detail supports a more cautious approach from the home side rather than an expansive, goal heavy one.
Shakhtar have already won this exact fixture 3-0
The two sides' only recent meeting produced a 3-0 Shakhtar win, and if the home side reproduces that gap in class here, four goals or more is well within reach even with Chornomorets defending as tightly as they have lately. A fast start from Shakhtar, with their Champions League trip already banked rather than looming, is the clearest way this pick gets beaten.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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2 selections at 1.73
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Chornomorets | 0 - 3 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +8 | 12 | ||
| 2 | 5 | +6 | 12 | ||
| 3 | 5 | +8 | 10 | ||
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 9 | ||
| 5 | 5 | +4 | 8 | ||
| 6 | 4 | -1 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 1 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 7 | 5 | -2 | 7 | ||
| 8 | 5 | 0 | 6 | ||
| 9 | 5 | -1 | 5 | ||
| 10 | 5 | -2 | 5 | ||
| 11 | 5 | -2 | 5 | ||
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | ||
| 13 | 4 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 14 | 1 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 14 | 5 | -8 | 3 | ||
| 15 | 4 | -3 | 2 | ||
| 15 | 1 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 16 | 5 | -11 | 2 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polessya | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | W |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 | W |
| 3 | Karpaty | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 10 | W |
| 4 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | |
| 5 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 6 | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 | |
| 6 | FC Kharkiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Zorya Luhansk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 | W |
| 8 | Bukovyna | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 9 | Veres Rivne | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | L |
| 10 | Hirnyk | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | |
| 11 | LNZ Cherkasy | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 | D |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 13 | Chornomorets | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | L |
| 14 | Kryvbas KR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 14 | Obolon Kyiv | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 3 | |
| 15 | Kolos Kovalivka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | L |
| 15 | Obolon'-Brovar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Kudrivka | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 2 | L |