San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido Prediction - September 13, 2026

Primera BChileFull time
San Marcos de Arica
3:0
Curico Unido
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.28Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.74price falling, opened at 1.85
Draw3.55price rising, opened at 3.30
Away4.70price rising, opened at 3.92

Market move since Sep 10. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36price rising, opened at 1.30
Under 1.53.00price rising, opened at 2.97
Over 2.52.21price rising, opened at 2.02
Under 2.51.67price falling, opened at 1.71
Over 3.53.71price rising, opened at 3.42
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.23
Both teams to score
Yes2.21price rising, opened at 1.84
No1.62price falling, opened at 1.85
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.751.98price falling, opened at 2.06
Away +0.751.82price rising, opened at 1.61

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Curico Unido are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • San Marcos de Arica and Curico Unido average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-014.4%Our score
  2. 1-112.9%Alternative
  3. 0-010.4%
  4. 2-19.4%
  5. 2-09.3%

Top five combined: 56.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSan Marcos de AricaxG1.36
AwayCurico UnidoxG0.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
10%
14%
9.3%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.9%
13%
9.4%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
4.0%
5.8%
4.1%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
1.3%
1.7%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.4%54.6% No
Over 1.5 66.3%33.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 40.1%59.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 19.6%80.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

San Marcos de Arica win and over 2.5 goals23.8%
San Marcos de Arica win and both teams score17.9%
Curico Unido win and over 2.5 goals11.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals23.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
San Marcos de Arica or draw75.5%
Curico Unido or draw52.4%
Either team wins72.0%
Draw no bet: San Marcos de Arica66.0%
Draw no bet: Curico Unido34.0%
San Marcos de Arica win to nil29.6%
Curico Unido win to nil14.6%
Team goals
San Marcos de Arica to score75.0%
Curico Unido to score60.0%
San Marcos de Arica over 1.5 goals39.6%
Curico Unido over 1.5 goals23.3%
San Marcos de Arica clean sheet40.0%
Curico Unido clean sheet25.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido
Head to Head

Head to Head

San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 12, 2026Curico Unido2 - 2San Marcos de Arica
July 12, 2025Curico Unido5 - 3San Marcos de Arica
League Table

League Table

Primera BChile · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12412844025+1544
22411944227+1542
32511774138+340
42410864124+1738
4179262118+329
52310853628+838
62510873633+338
7259973123+836
82410593131035
925104112631-534
10248793934+531
11248793338-531
122561093229+328
132569102238-1624
1425410112638-1222
152357111537-2222
162546152239-1718
Primera B - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Santiago Wanderers24128440251544WWLDW
2Cobreloa24119442271542DWDWD
3Magallanes2511774138340WLDWL
4Antofagasta24108641241738WLDLD
4D. Puerto Montt179262118329WWDLL
5San Luis2310853628838DWWDW
6Recoleta2510873633338LLDDD
7San Marcos de Arica259973123836DWLLW
8Union Espanola2410593131035LWDDL
9Deportes Puerto Montt25104112631-534
10Deportes Temuco248793934531LLWWW
11Deportes Copiapo248793338-531DWDWL
12Deportes Iquique2561093229328DWDLD
13Curico Unido2569102238-1624DLWWD
14Deportes Santa Cruz25410112638-1222LLWDD
15Union San Felipe2357111537-2222LLDWL
16Rangers de Talca2546152239-1718DDLLL