Portimonense vs Tondela Prediction - September 13, 2026

Liga Portugal 2PortugalFull time
Portimonense
0:2
Tondela
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.29Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.96
Draw3.35
Away2.29

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28
Under 1.53.08
Over 2.52.02
Under 2.51.75
Over 3.53.50
Under 3.51.22
Both teams to score
Yes1.78
No1.93
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.85
Handicap
Home +0.251.75
Away -0.251.91

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Tondela?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Tondela are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Portimonense and Tondela average 1.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-012.8%Projected
  2. 1-113.7%Alternative
  3. 0-011.2%
  4. 0-110.9%
  5. 2-18.5%

Top five combined: 57.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePortimonensexG1.21
AwayTondelaxG0.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
13%
7.8%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
1
11%
14%
8.5%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
2
5.2%
6.8%
4.4%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
3
1.7%
2.2%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.7%54.3% No
Over 1.5 65.1%34.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 38.5%61.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.4%81.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Portimonense win and over 2.5 goals19.6%
Portimonense win and both teams score15.4%
Tondela win and over 2.5 goals13.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Portimonense or draw70.1%
Tondela or draw59.8%
Either team wins70.1%
Draw no bet: Portimonense57.3%
Draw no bet: Tondela42.7%
Portimonense win to nil24.8%
Tondela win to nil18.3%
Team goals
Portimonense to score70.5%
Tondela to score64.0%
Portimonense over 1.5 goals34.3%
Tondela over 1.5 goals26.5%
Portimonense clean sheet36.0%
Tondela clean sheet29.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Portimonense: 3-4-3(confirmed lineup)Tondela: 4-3-3(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Portimonense vs Tondela
Head to Head

Head to Head

Portimonense vs Tondela: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 27, 2025Portimonense2 - 2Tondela
League Table

League Table

Liga Portugal 2Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16411135+813
2541093+613
3540174+312
4631275+210
56312107+310
6531152+310
7631286+210
86303810-29
9630376+19
10522175+28
11621346-27
1261326606
13613256-16
14613279-26
15612358-35
16511359-44
175104211-93
18601518-71
Liga Portugal 2 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Penafiel6411135813
2Lusitânia Lourosa541093613
3Sporting CP B540174312
4Benfica B631275210
5União de Leiria6312107310
6Vizela531152310
7Leixoes631286210
8Academica6303810-29
9Tondela63037619
10Farense52217528
11Portimonense621346-27
12AVS61326606
13Felgueiras 1932613256-16
14Torreense613279-26
15Amarante612358-35
16Chaves511359-44
17FC Porto B5104211-93
18Feirense601518-71