Macara vs Emelec Prediction - September 13, 2026

Liga ProEcuadorFull time
Macara
1:0
Emelec
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.88price falling, opened at 1.97
Draw3.25price rising, opened at 3.22
Away4.36price rising, opened at 3.96

Market move since Sep 11. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36price falling, opened at 1.38
Under 1.52.77price rising, opened at 2.73
Over 2.52.21price falling, opened at 2.23
Under 2.51.62price rising, opened at 1.61
Over 3.54.00price falling, opened at 4.13
Under 3.51.19price rising, opened at 1.17
Both teams to score
Yes1.97price rising, opened at 1.95
No1.73price falling, opened at 1.74
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.78price falling, opened at 1.79
Handicap
Home -0.752.14
Away +0.751.66

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Macara vs Emelec?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Macara are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Macara and Emelec average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-014.7%Projected
  2. 1-112.3%Alternative
  3. 2-010.8%
  4. 2-19.8%
  5. 0-09.5%

Top five combined: 57.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMacaraxG1.63
AwayEmelecxG0.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.5%
15%
11%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.1%
12%
9.8%
4.8%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
2
2.7%
4.8%
3.9%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
3
0.8%
1.3%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.5%54.5% No
Over 1.5 68.8%31.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 43.0%57.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.1%77.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Macara win and over 2.5 goals29.4%
Macara win and both teams score20.8%
Emelec win and over 2.5 goals9.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Macara or draw81.2%
Emelec or draw45.1%
Either team wins73.7%
Draw no bet: Macara74.5%
Draw no bet: Emelec25.5%
Macara win to nil34.1%
Emelec win to nil10.9%
Team goals
Macara to score79.7%
Emelec to score56.4%
Macara over 1.5 goals46.3%
Emelec over 1.5 goals19.9%
Macara clean sheet43.6%
Emelec clean sheet20.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Team news

Expected formations

Emelec: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Macara vs Emelec
Head to Head

Head to Head

Macara vs Emelec: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 24, 2026Emelec2 - 0Macara
December 9, 2025Emelec0 - 2Macara
November 2, 2025Macara3 - 0Emelec
June 29, 2025Macara1 - 1Emelec
League Table

League Table

Liga ProEcuador · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12923247031+3971
23014883328+550
32913974926+2348
42914694033+748
529136103023+745
629111083124+743
829109103131039
92991193435-138
9238692426-230
102999113035-536
1129109102533-836
1229105142436-1235
132996143545-1033
142992182742-1529
152976161830-1227
163056191742-2521
Relegation
Liga Pro - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Independiente del Valle29232470313971WWWWW
2Aucas3014883328550WLLWL
3Universidad Catolica29139749262348WDWWW
4Macara2914694033748WWWLW
5LDU de Quito29136103023745WDLLD
6Barcelona SC29111083124743DLLWD
8Leones del Norte29109103131039DWDWD
9Mushuc Runa SC2991193435-138WLDWL
9Libertad238692426-230WWWLW
10Guayaquil City FC2999113035-536LDDWD
11Emelec29109102533-836LLDLW
12Deportivo Cuenca29105142436-1235LWLLD
13Orense SC2996143545-1033LLWLL
14Tecnico Universitario2992182742-1529LWLLL
15Delfin SC2976161830-1227LLWWL
16Manta FC3056191742-2521LLDLL