Independiente vs San Lorenzo Prediction

Projected score

1-0

Alternative:1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home2.04

Draw2.98

Away4.41

Market move since Sep 10. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 10, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-8Methodology

Match analysis

Independiente and San Lorenzo both still have a continental qualification place to play for when they meet on 13 September, separated by just two points in the table. Superior's model projects a tight 1-0, with 1-1 next in line as the alternative scoreline.

Both sides are chasing the same continental spot

Independiente sit fifth in the aggregate table on 24 points with San Lorenzo two places and two points behind them, so this is effectively a direct swing in that race. Independiente's home form has been streaky, a 3-1 win at Lanus and a 4-0 defeat at Atletico Tucuman inside the last month, while San Lorenzo have not managed more than a single goal in any of their last five outings. The projection reflects two sides capable of edging a low-scoring match rather than either one taking control of it.

Neither side has stayed goal-shy for long

Independiente's own recent log includes that 0-4 collapse at Atletico Tucuman and a 3-1 win, so a 1-0 projection can be wrong in either direction: a two-goal home win is well within their range, and so is a repeat of the 1-1 head to head draw from last September. San Lorenzo have drawn 0-0 in two of their last six matches, so the single goal that separates 1-0 from a stalemate may not arrive for either side.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

Independiente: 4-2-3-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Independiente vs San Lorenzo

Head to Head

Independiente vs San Lorenzo: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 2, 2026	San Lorenzo	1 - 2	Independiente
September 21, 2025	Independiente	1 - 1	San Lorenzo

League Table

Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29	15	+14	34
1	Estudiantes de La Plata	16	9	4	3	19	7	+12	31
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	22	12	+10	29
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22	9	+13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18	12	+6	28
3	Argentinos Juniors	16	8	5	3	17	13	+4	29
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20	16	+4	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17	13	+4	26
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17	13	+4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24	20	+4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18	15	+3	24
6	Gimnasia La Plata	16	8	2	6	19	19	0	26
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	17	13	+4	22
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14	14	0	22
7	San Lorenzo de Almagro	16	5	7	4	14	14	0	22
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17	15	+2	21
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24	20	+4	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17	17	0	21
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15	15	0	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18	21	-3	19
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18	15	+3	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13	20	-7	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14	22	-8	19
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	17	19	-2	18
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10	15	-5	16
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15	20	-5	14
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11	21	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15	27	-12	15
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6	19	-13	8
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5	12	-7	11
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5	24	-19	5

Liga Profesional Argentina - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29	15	14	34
1	Estudiantes de La Plata	16	9	4	3	19	7	12	31
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	22	12	10	29
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22	9	13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18	12	6	28
3	Argentinos Juniors	16	8	5	3	17	13	4	29
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20	16	4	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17	13	4	26
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17	13	4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24	20	4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18	15	3	24
6	Gimnasia La Plata	16	8	2	6	19	19	0	26
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	17	13	4	22
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14	14	0	22
7	San Lorenzo de Almagro	16	5	7	4	14	14	0	22
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17	15	2	21
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24	20	4	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17	17	0	21
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15	15	0	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18	21	-3	19
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18	15	3	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13	20	-7	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14	22	-8	19
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	17	19	-2	18
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10	15	-5	16
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15	20	-5	14
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11	21	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15	27	-12	15
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6	19	-13	8
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5	12	-7	11
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5	24	-19	5