Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache Prediction - September 13, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
Caldas
2:0
Vitória de Sernache
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.26Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.29price rising, opened at 1.87
Draw3.38price rising, opened at 3.30
Away2.98price falling, opened at 4.21

Market move since Sep 12. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.31
Under 1.53.25
Over 2.52.11
Under 2.51.73
Over 3.53.33
Under 3.51.30
Both teams to score
Yes1.87
No1.87
Odd/Even
Odd1.93
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.98
Away +0.251.82

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Caldas are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Caldas and Vitória de Sernache average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.1%Projected
  2. 1-012.8%Alternative
  3. 0-011.7%
  4. 0-111.6%
  5. 2-18.0%

Top five combined: 57.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCaldasxG1.06
AwayVitória de SernachexG1.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
13%
6.7%
2.9%
0.9%
0.4%
<0.1%
1
12%
13%
8.0%
2.7%
1.0%
0.4%
<0.1%
2
5.5%
6.9%
3.8%
1.6%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
1.9%
2.3%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 44.8%55.2% No
Over 1.5 63.9%36.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 38.6%61.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.9%81.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Caldas win and over 2.5 goals19.1%
Caldas win and both teams score14.9%
Vitória de Sernache win and over 2.5 goals15.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Caldas or draw67.9%
Vitória de Sernache or draw61.4%
Either team wins70.7%
Draw no bet: Caldas54.6%
Draw no bet: Vitória de Sernache45.4%
Caldas win to nil23.7%
Vitória de Sernache win to nil19.8%
Team goals
Caldas to score68.5%
Vitória de Sernache to score64.6%
Caldas over 1.5 goals32.5%
Vitória de Sernache over 1.5 goals27.6%
Caldas clean sheet35.4%
Vitória de Sernache clean sheet31.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.70

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400122+1012
1531163+310
2530285+39
2431082+610
352217708
3430163+39
4521295+47
4422072+58
552127707
5522165+18
6521278-17
6512245-15
7512245-15
7512246-25
8411235-24
8511327-54
9402225-32
95113310-74
10401349-51
104013311-81
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CF Os Belenenses44001221012
1AD Marco 09531163310
2Varzim53028539
2Atlético CP431082610
3Oliveirense52217708
3Paredes43016339
4Mafra52129547
4Fafe42207258
5Louletano52127707
5Vianense52216518
6Leça521278-17
6Lusitano Évora 1911512245-15
7Guimaraes B512245-15
7SC Covilha512246-25
8Caldas411235-24
8Trofense511327-54
9São João Ver402225-32
9União Santarém5113310-74
10Pacos Ferreira401349-51
10Vitória de Sernache4013311-81