Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia Prediction - September 12, 2026

I LigaPolandFull time
Warta Poznań
3:0
Arka Gdynia
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.43Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.51price rising, opened at 2.49
Draw3.42price falling, opened at 3.48
Away2.38

Market move since Sep 9. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19
Under 1.53.75price rising, opened at 3.74
Over 2.51.71
Under 2.52.02
Over 3.52.70
Under 3.51.36
Both teams to score
Yes1.58
No2.21
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price rising, opened at 1.82
Even1.83price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home +01.88
Away +01.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Warta Poznań and Arka Gdynia average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.2%Projected
  2. 0-19.1%Alternative
  3. 1-09.0%
  4. 1-28.3%
  5. 2-18.2%

Top five combined: 46.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeWarta PoznańxG1.35
AwayArka GdyniaxG1.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.7%
9.0%
6.0%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
1
9.1%
12%
8.2%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.2%
8.3%
5.6%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
3
2.8%
3.8%
2.5%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.0%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 55.0%45.0% No
Over 1.5 75.3%24.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 50.8%49.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 28.8%71.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Warta Poznań win and over 2.5 goals21.7%
Warta Poznań win and both teams score17.8%
Arka Gdynia win and over 2.5 goals22.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Warta Poznań or draw62.5%
Arka Gdynia or draw63.3%
Either team wins74.2%
Draw no bet: Warta Poznań49.5%
Draw no bet: Arka Gdynia50.5%
Warta Poznań win to nil18.9%
Arka Gdynia win to nil19.4%
Team goals
Warta Poznań to score74.0%
Arka Gdynia to score74.4%
Warta Poznań over 1.5 goals38.9%
Arka Gdynia over 1.5 goals39.5%
Warta Poznań clean sheet25.6%
Arka Gdynia clean sheet26.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.83

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia
League Table

League Table

I LigaPoland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
18431137+615
27430115+615
37421114+714
48332116+512
584041411+312
683231312+111
78323109+111
88323911-211
973131111010
10723276+19
1172327709
1272321214-29
1220204402
1381521417-38
147223613-78
1580711113-27
167214813-57
17720569-36
187205612-66
Relegation
I Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1ŁKS Łódź8431137615WD
2Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki7430115615WW
3Miedz Legnica7421114714WD
4Chrobry Głogów8332116512LW
5Warta Poznań84041411312WL
6Polonia Warszawa83231312111WW
7Arka Gdynia8323109111WW
8Ruch Chorzów8323911-211LL
9Nieciecza73131111010WW
10Pogoń Siedlce72327619LD
11Odra Opole72327709WL
12Stal Mielec72321214-29DW
12Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała20204402
13Polonia Bytom81521417-38LW
14Stal Rzeszów7223613-78LL
15Podbeskidzie80711113-27DD
16Lechia Gdansk7214813-57LL
17Puszcza Niepołomice720569-36LL
18Unia Skierniewice7205612-66LL