Trofense vs Leça Prediction - September 12, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
Trofense
1:4
Leça
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.19Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.80
Draw3.00
Away2.33

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36
Under 1.52.70
Over 2.52.14
Under 2.51.58
Over 3.53.80
Under 3.51.19
Both teams to score
Yes1.88
No1.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Trofense vs Leça?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Leça are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Trofense and Leça average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-113.6%Projected
  2. 1-113.4%Alternative
  3. 0-011.8%
  4. 1-011.6%
  5. 0-27.8%

Top five combined: 58.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTrofensexG0.99
AwayLeçaxG1.15
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
12%
5.7%
1.9%
0.5%
<0.1%
<0.1%
1
14%
13%
6.6%
2.2%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
2
7.8%
7.7%
3.8%
1.3%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
3.0%
3.0%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.9%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 42.9%57.1% No
Over 1.5 63.1%36.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 36.1%63.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.9%83.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Trofense win and over 2.5 goals13.7%
Trofense win and both teams score11.2%
Leça win and over 2.5 goals18.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals25.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Trofense or draw60.5%
Leça or draw68.9%
Either team wins70.5%
Draw no bet: Trofense44.0%
Draw no bet: Leça56.0%
Trofense win to nil19.8%
Leça win to nil25.5%
Team goals
Trofense to score62.8%
Leça to score68.4%
Trofense over 1.5 goals26.0%
Leça over 1.5 goals32.0%
Trofense clean sheet31.6%
Leça clean sheet37.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.70

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Trofense vs Leça
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400122+1012
1531163+310
2530285+39
2431082+610
352217708
3430163+39
4521295+47
4422072+58
552127707
5522165+18
6521278-17
6512245-15
7512245-15
7512246-25
8411235-24
8511327-54
9402225-32
95113310-74
10401349-51
104013311-81
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CF Os Belenenses44001221012
1AD Marco 09531163310
2Varzim53028539
2Atlético CP431082610
3Oliveirense52217708
3Paredes43016339
4Mafra52129547
4Fafe42207258
5Louletano52127707
5Vianense52216518
6Leça521278-17
6Lusitano Évora 1911512245-15
7Guimaraes B512245-15
7SC Covilha512246-25
8Caldas411235-24
8Trofense511327-54
9São João Ver402225-32
9União Santarém5113310-74
10Pacos Ferreira401349-51
10Vitória de Sernache4013311-81