Shrewsbury vs Northampton Prediction - September 12, 2026
Alternative:1-0
Goals: Under 3.51.24
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury vs Northampton?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Northampton are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
A combined 1.0 goals a game is the scoring rate behind Superior's Under 3.5 pick for Shrewsbury vs Northampton on 12 September, priced at 1.24 and backed at an 80 percent read. Shrewsbury have found the net only twice in their own last five matches.
Shrewsbury have scored twice in five games
The projection starts with the raw scoring rate: Shrewsbury average 0.4 goals a match and Northampton 0.6, a combined 1.0 that sits nowhere near the break needed for this line. Shrewsbury have won once and lost four of their last five, shipping twelve goals and scoring only two, while Northampton have managed just three goals of their own across five matches. Neither side looks built for an end to end game.
Northampton have won both of the last two meetings
The pick's clearest risk sits in the head to head. Northampton won the most recent meeting 2-1 and, the game before that, won 4-1, proof this exact match up can turn into a cluster of goals when Shrewsbury's defence has a bad afternoon. This loses if the two sides combine for four goals or more, and four defeats in five for Shrewsbury say that afternoon can turn up again.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 11, 2025 | Northampton | 2 - 1 | Shrewsbury |
| April 21, 2025 | Northampton | 4 - 1 | Shrewsbury |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +5 | 9 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +4 | 8 | ||
| 3 | 4 | +4 | 8 | ||
| 4 | 4 | +2 | 8 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +4 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 7 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 8 | 4 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 9 | 4 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 10 | 4 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 11 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 12 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 | ||
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 4 | ||
| 16 | 4 | -1 | 4 | ||
| 17 | 4 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 18 | 4 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 19 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 20 | 4 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 21 | 4 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 22 | 4 | -6 | 3 | ||
| 23 | 4 | -3 | 2 | ||
| 24 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 9 | |
| 2 | Barnet | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 | |
| 3 | Walsall | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 4 | Crewe | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 5 | Oldham | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 6 | Cheltenham | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | |
| 7 | York | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | |
| 8 | Colchester | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 9 | Swindon Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | Tranmere Rovers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | |
| 11 | Grimsby | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
| 11 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | Fleetwood Town | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| 13 | Rotherham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | |
| 14 | Newport County | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 | |
| 15 | Exeter City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | |
| 18 | Northampton | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | |
| 19 | Rochdale | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | |
| 20 | Salford City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | |
| 21 | Gillingham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | |
| 22 | Shrewsbury | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 | |
| 23 | Accrington ST | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 2 | |
| 24 | Port Vale | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |