Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë Prediction - September 12, 2026

1st DivisionAlbaniaFull time
Pogradeci
2:1
Kastrioti Krujë
Projected scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:1-0

Match Winner: Home1.42Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.25price falling, opened at 1.42
Draw5.50price rising, opened at 4.30
Away9.20price rising, opened at 6.55

Market move since Sep 11. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 2.51.50
Under 2.52.40
Over 3.52.27
Under 3.51.56
Both teams to score
Yes1.99
No1.82
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.93
Handicap
Home -1.51.73
Away +1.52.00

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Pogradeci are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Pogradeci won 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings.
  • Counter signalKastrioti Krujë average 1.6 goals per match against 1.0 for Pogradeci.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-011.8%Projected
  2. 1-010.5%Alternative
  3. 2-19.6%
  4. 3-08.9%
  5. 1-18.5%

Top five combined: 49.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePogradecixG2.25
AwayKastrioti KrujëxG0.81
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.7%
10%
12%
8.9%
5.0%
2.3%
1.2%
1
3.8%
8.5%
9.6%
7.2%
4.1%
1.8%
1.0%
2
1.5%
3.5%
3.9%
2.9%
1.7%
0.7%
0.4%
3
0.4%
0.9%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
4
<0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 49.8%50.2% No
Over 1.5 81.1%18.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 59.2%40.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 36.8%63.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Pogradeci win and over 2.5 goals47.7%
Pogradeci win and both teams score30.3%
Kastrioti Krujë win and over 2.5 goals6.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals13.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Pogradeci or draw88.0%
Kastrioti Krujë or draw30.0%
Either team wins82.0%
Draw no bet: Pogradeci85.4%
Draw no bet: Kastrioti Krujë14.6%
Pogradeci win to nil39.7%
Kastrioti Krujë win to nil5.8%
Team goals
Pogradeci to score89.5%
Kastrioti Krujë to score55.6%
Pogradeci over 1.5 goals65.9%
Kastrioti Krujë over 1.5 goals19.6%
Pogradeci clean sheet44.4%
Kastrioti Krujë clean sheet10.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.88

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Prediction, preview and head to head: Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë
Head to Head

Head to Head

Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 7, 2026Pogradeci3 - 0Kastrioti Krujë
April 4, 2026Pogradeci5 - 1Kastrioti Krujë
January 24, 2026Kastrioti Krujë2 - 4Pogradeci
October 25, 2025Pogradeci4 - 0Kastrioti Krujë
League Table

League Table

1st DivisionAlbania · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1220031+26
2211073+44
3211031+24
4211032+14
5211021+14
621013303
720204402
820203302
9201134-11
10201115-41
11200213-20
12200214-30
1st Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Korabi Peshkopi22003126
2Besa Kavajë21107344
3Iliria Fushë-Krujë21103124
4Bylis21103214
5Pogradeci21102114
6FK Kukesi21013303
7Flamurtari20204402
8Burreli20203302
9Kastrioti Krujë201134-11
10Sopoti Librazhd201115-41
11Oriku200213-20
12Besëlidhja Lezhë200214-30