Padova vs Ascoli Prediction - September 12, 2026
Alternative:1-0
Goals: Under 3.51.22
What is the prediction for Padova vs Ascoli?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Ascoli are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Padova's own attack carries a 6.5 rating in Superior's model, yet that has produced only one win in five, and it underpins the Under 3.5 pick for Padova vs Ascoli on 12 September, priced at 1.22 with a 77 percent read.
Padova's attack rating has not matched their results
The model rates Padova's attacking output at 6.5 and their defensive solidity at 6.4, decent underlying numbers for this level, but one win, two draws and two losses in their last five suggest a side that creates without finishing. They have scored six and conceded eight across that run, hardly a platform for a high scoring afternoon.
Ascoli carry the more productive attack
Ascoli arrive in better form, three wins in their last five including a win on the road, and eight goals scored across that stretch shows a functioning attack. This loses if the match produces four goals or more, and Ascoli's scoring combined with Padova's leaky defence, eight conceded in the same span, is the most obvious way that happens.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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2 selections at 1.73
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League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +4 | 9 | ||
| 2 | 3 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 3 | 3 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 4 | 3 | +2 | 7 | ||
| 5 | 3 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 7 | 3 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 8 | 3 | 0 | 6 | ||
| 9 | 3 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 10 | 3 | +4 | 4 | ||
| 11 | 3 | -1 | 4 | ||
| 12 | 3 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 13 | 3 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 14 | 3 | -5 | 3 | ||
| 15 | 3 | -2 | 1 | ||
| 16 | 3 | -2 | 1 | ||
| 17 | 3 | -2 | 1 | ||
| 18 | 3 | -3 | 1 | ||
| 19 | 3 | -3 | 1 | ||
| 20 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| 2 | Mantova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| 3 | Sudtirol | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| 4 | Ascoli | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 5 | Modena | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| 6 | Pisa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| 7 | Avellino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| 8 | Empoli | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
| 9 | Cesena | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| 10 | Verona | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | |
| 11 | Padova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 12 | Vicenza Virtus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | |
| 13 | Cremonese | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | |
| 14 | Arezzo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 | |
| 15 | Virtus Entella | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | |
| 16 | Carrarese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | |
| 17 | Benevento | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | |
| 19 | Juve Stabia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 |