New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven Prediction - September 12, 2026

USL ChampionshipUSAFull time
New Mexico United
2:2
Indy Eleven
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.50Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.15price falling, opened at 2.17
Draw3.50price rising, opened at 3.48
Away2.86price rising, opened at 2.84

Market move since Sep 9. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price falling, opened at 1.14
Under 1.54.50price rising, opened at 4.45
Over 2.51.57price falling, opened at 1.59
Under 2.52.25price rising, opened at 2.21
Over 3.52.41price falling, opened at 2.43
Under 3.51.45price rising, opened at 1.44
Both teams to score
Yes1.48price falling, opened at 1.49
No2.45price rising, opened at 2.42
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.86price falling, opened at 1.89
Away +0.251.80price rising, opened at 1.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Why this prediction

  • New Mexico United and Indy Eleven average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.2%Projected
  2. 1-010.5%Alternative
  3. 2-19.1%
  4. 0-18.1%
  5. 2-07.9%

Top five combined: 47.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNew Mexico UnitedxG1.50
AwayIndy ElevenxG1.15
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.0%
11%
7.9%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.1%
12%
9.1%
4.6%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
2
4.7%
7.0%
5.3%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
3
1.8%
2.7%
2.0%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.2%46.8% No
Over 1.5 74.3%25.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 49.5%50.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 27.6%72.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

New Mexico United win and over 2.5 goals26.7%
New Mexico United win and both teams score20.7%
Indy Eleven win and over 2.5 goals16.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
New Mexico United or draw70.8%
Indy Eleven or draw54.8%
Either team wins74.4%
Draw no bet: New Mexico United60.7%
Draw no bet: Indy Eleven39.3%
New Mexico United win to nil24.5%
Indy Eleven win to nil15.3%
Team goals
New Mexico United to score77.7%
Indy Eleven to score68.5%
New Mexico United over 1.5 goals44.2%
Indy Eleven over 1.5 goals32.1%
New Mexico United clean sheet31.5%
Indy Eleven clean sheet22.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

3 selections at 1.95

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Prediction, preview and head to head: New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven
League Table

League Table

USL ChampionshipUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12312473929+1040
11811523319+1438
2189363724+1330
22112453121+1040
3239953432+236
3178452517+828
4188373231+127
42210662619+736
5188282020026
5239952826+236
62310493836+234
6195772431-722
7228952920+933
7166462519+622
8166371920-121
82394103329+431
9174851216-420
9237973231+130
102385102934-529
10173952129-818
11173861821-317
11236982831-327
122446142542-1718
121734101732-1513
131915132351-288
USL Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1El Paso Locomotive23124739291040LWLWL
1Tampa Bay Rowdies18115233191438WWDLW
2Charleston Battery1893637241330WLDLW
2New Mexico United21124531211040WWWWD
3Orange County SC239953432236WWDDW
3Detroit City178452517828DLWWW
4Louisville City188373231127LWLWD
4FC Tulsa2210662619736WDWLW
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds188282020026WLLWL
5San Antonio239952826236WWLDW
6Colorado Springs2310493836234LWWWL
6Miami FC195772431-722DLLWD
7Sacramento Republic228952920933WWDWL
7Rhode Island166462519622LWWLD
8Indy Eleven166371920-121LLLLW
8Lexington2394103329431WDWLW
9Hartford Athletic174851216-420LDLDL
9Phoenix Rising237973231130DDWLL
10Las Vegas Lights2385102934-529DWWLL
10Loudoun United173952129-818WWDDL
11Birmingham Legion173861821-317WLDLD
11Oakland Roots236982831-327LLLLW
12Monterey Bay2446142542-1718LLLDW
12Brooklyn1734101732-1513LLDWL
13Sporting JAX1915132351-288LLDWD