Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction - September 12, 2026

Liga MXMexicoFull time
Necaxa
0:1
Puebla
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.47Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.98price falling, opened at 2.03
Draw3.65
Away3.55price rising, opened at 3.40

Market move since Sep 10. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.23
Under 1.54.15
Over 2.51.72
Under 2.52.15
Over 3.52.75
Under 3.51.45
Both teams to score
Yes1.63price rising, opened at 1.62
No2.25
Odd/Even
Odd1.88
Even1.84
Handicap
Home -0.51.97price falling, opened at 2.01
Away +0.51.83price rising, opened at 1.80
Corners
Over 9.51.92
Under 9.51.81

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Necaxa vs Puebla?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Puebla are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Necaxa and Puebla average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.
  • Puebla defence rating 6.3 meets a Necaxa attack rating of 5.8.
  • Counter signalPuebla attack rating 6.2 meets a Necaxa defence rating of 5.9.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.5%Projected
  2. 1-010.1%Alternative
  3. 2-19.5%
  4. 2-08.4%
  5. 0-16.9%

Top five combined: 46.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNecaxaxG1.66
AwayPueblaxG1.14
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.1%
10%
8.4%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
1
6.9%
12%
9.5%
5.3%
2.2%
0.7%
0.3%
2
4.0%
6.6%
5.4%
3.0%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
3
1.5%
2.5%
2.1%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 55.0%45.0% No
Over 1.5 76.8%23.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 53.0%47.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.7%69.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Necaxa win and over 2.5 goals31.0%
Necaxa win and both teams score23.6%
Puebla win and over 2.5 goals15.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Necaxa or draw73.8%
Puebla or draw50.5%
Either team wins75.7%
Draw no bet: Necaxa65.4%
Draw no bet: Puebla34.6%
Necaxa win to nil25.9%
Puebla win to nil13.0%
Team goals
Necaxa to score80.9%
Puebla to score68.0%
Necaxa over 1.5 goals49.3%
Puebla over 1.5 goals31.5%
Necaxa clean sheet32.0%
Puebla clean sheet19.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

3 selections at 1.95

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Team news

Confirmed formations

Necaxa: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)Puebla: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Necaxa vs Puebla
Head to Head

Head to Head

Necaxa vs Puebla: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 14, 2026Puebla0 - 0Necaxa
September 20, 2025Necaxa1 - 0Puebla
April 19, 2025Puebla0 - 1Necaxa
League Table

League Table

Liga MXMexico · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16510122+1016
27421126+614
36411124+813
46411107+313
57412109+113
674031211+112
77322119+211
8631297+210
9631299010
10731399010
1163031310+39
127223108+28
137223912-38
14714279-27
157133911-26
167133813-56
177016412-81
187007321-180
Liga MX - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Club America65101221016WDW
2Guadalajara Chivas7421126614DWL
3Toluca6411124813WLW
4Club Tijuana6411107313DWW
5Atlas7412109113LWW
6Cruz Azul74031211112LWW
7U.N.A.M. - Pumas7322119211WWL
8Club Queretaro631297210WWL
9Puebla631299010DLW
10Leon731399010WLL
11Monterrey6303131039WLW
12CF Pachuca722310828LLW
13Necaxa7223912-38LWW
14Atlante FC714279-27WDL
15Tigres UANL7133911-26LDL
16Atletico San Luis7133813-56DDL
17Santos Laguna7016412-81LLL
18FC Juarez7007321-180LLL