Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan Prediction - September 12, 2026

EkstraklasaPolandFull time
Gornik Zabrze
2:1
Lech Poznan
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.89price rising, opened at 2.83
Draw3.44price rising, opened at 3.42
Away2.29price falling, opened at 2.34

Market move since Sep 9. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15
Under 1.54.30price rising, opened at 4.25
Over 2.51.57price falling, opened at 1.58
Under 2.52.14price rising, opened at 2.12
Over 3.52.50price falling, opened at 2.53
Under 3.51.50price rising, opened at 1.49
Both teams to score
Yes1.50price falling, opened at 1.51
No2.42price rising, opened at 2.39
Odd/Even
Odd1.89
Even1.81
Handicap
Home +0.251.75price rising, opened at 1.71
Away -0.251.91price falling, opened at 1.95

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Lech Poznan are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Gornik Zabrze and Lech Poznan average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.4%Projected
  2. 1-29.0%Alternative
  3. 0-18.3%
  4. 2-17.7%
  5. 1-07.2%

Top five combined: 43.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGornik ZabrzexG1.36
AwayLech PoznanxG1.58
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.3%
7.2%
4.9%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
1
8.3%
11%
7.7%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.6%
9.0%
6.1%
2.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
3
3.5%
4.7%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.4%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 59.1%40.9% No
Over 1.5 79.2%20.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.4%43.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.0%66.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Gornik Zabrze win and over 2.5 goals20.9%
Gornik Zabrze win and both teams score17.7%
Lech Poznan win and over 2.5 goals27.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Gornik Zabrze or draw57.5%
Lech Poznan or draw67.0%
Either team wins75.6%
Draw no bet: Gornik Zabrze43.7%
Draw no bet: Lech Poznan56.3%
Gornik Zabrze win to nil15.4%
Lech Poznan win to nil20.3%
Team goals
Gornik Zabrze to score74.4%
Lech Poznan to score79.4%
Gornik Zabrze over 1.5 goals39.6%
Lech Poznan over 1.5 goals46.8%
Gornik Zabrze clean sheet20.6%
Lech Poznan clean sheet25.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

3 selections at 1.95

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Team news

Expected formations

Gornik Zabrze: 4-3-3(predicted)Lech Poznan: 4-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan
Head to Head

Head to Head

Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 16, 2026Lech Poznan3 - 1Gornik Zabrze
March 4, 2026Lech Poznan0 - 1Gornik Zabrze
February 7, 2026Gornik Zabrze0 - 1Lech Poznan
August 2, 2025Lech Poznan2 - 1Gornik Zabrze
League Table

League Table

EkstraklasaPoland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16510114+716
27430156+915
36501127+515
484221511+414
574031110+112
673131313010
76303129+39
8623185+39
9623175+29
10623165+19
11722368-28
127223613-78
137142101007
147133911-26
158125915-65
166123411-75
176114913-44
187106815-73
Relegation
Ekstraklasa - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Lech Poznan6510114716WD
2Legia Warszawa7430156915WW
3Gornik Zabrze6501127515W
4Wisla Krakow84221511414LW
5Jagiellonia74031110112WW
6Piast Gliwice73131313010WL
7GKS Katowice630312939WL
8Pogon Szczecin62318539WL
9Korona Kielce62317529L
10Zaglebie Lubin62316519LW
11Cracovia Krakow722368-28LD
12Radomiak Radom7223613-78LW
13Widzew Łódź7142101007DD
14Slask Wroclaw7133911-26WL
15Motor Lublin8125915-65LD
16Wisla Plock6123411-75DW
17Wieczysta Kraków6114913-44LL
18Raków Częstochowa7106815-73LL