Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction - September 12, 2026
Alternative:0-1
Goals: Under 3.51.22
What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Coritiba are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Three of the last four meetings between Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense have finished 1-0 or 0-0, and that pattern backs Superior's Under 3.5 pick for the Parana derby on 12 September, priced at 1.22 and read at 76 percent. Both sides' own scoring rates sit close to the line rather than clear of it.
Three of the last four derbies have finished 1-0 or 0-0
Coritiba have won two of the last four meetings 1-0 and drawn another 0-0, with only a 2-0 loss breaking the pattern of tight scorelines in this rivalry. Both teams' own averages sit close to the 3.5 line rather than clear of it, 1.8 goals a game for Coritiba and 2.0 for Atletico Paranaense, and derbies tend to play tighter than the raw numbers suggest.
Atletico Paranaense have found ten goals on the road
The counterweight is Atletico Paranaense's attack, which has found ten goals across its last five matches including a 3-2 win on the road. This loses if the sides combine for four goals or more, and an away side scoring at that rate is the clearest route past a home defence that has also shipped seven in the same span.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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2 selections at 1.73
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Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 22, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense | 2 - 0 | Coritiba |
| January 17, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense | 0 - 1 | Coritiba |
| October 19, 2025 | Coritiba | 0 - 0 | Atletico Paranaense |
| June 28, 2025 | Atletico Paranaense | 0 - 1 | Coritiba |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | +30 | 54 | ||
| 2 | 26 | +24 | 53 | ||
| 3 | 26 | +10 | 45 | ||
| 4 | 26 | +8 | 45 | ||
| 5 | 26 | +8 | 43 | ||
| 6 | 26 | +1 | 42 | ||
| 7 | 21 | -3 | 30 | ||
| 7 | 26 | -1 | 37 | ||
| 8 | 25 | +2 | 36 | ||
| 9 | 25 | +3 | 35 | ||
| 10 | 25 | +3 | 33 | ||
| 11 | 26 | +1 | 33 | ||
| 12 | 25 | -1 | 32 | ||
| 13 | 25 | -3 | 31 | ||
| 14 | 25 | -13 | 29 | ||
| 15 | 24 | -5 | 28 | ||
| 16 | 26 | -11 | 28 | ||
| 17 | 25 | -13 | 25 | ||
| 18 | 26 | -6 | 25 | ||
| 19 | 26 | -13 | 23 | ||
| 20 | 25 | -24 | 15 | ||
| 20 | 20 | -22 | 10 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 54 | DDWWL |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 45 | DDDDL |
| 5 | Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 43 | DDDWW |
| 6 | Cruzeiro FC | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 | |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 | WLWDW |
| 7 | Coritiba | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 | LDLLW |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 | WDWLW |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 35 | DDWWW |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 33 | DLLDL |
| 11 | Corinthians | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 33 | DDWWW |
| 12 | Santos | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 13 | Botafogo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 31 | WDWLD |
| 14 | Vitoria | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 29 | LLDWL |
| 15 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 28 | DLLWD |
| 16 | Mirassol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 17 | Vasco DA Gama | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Internacional | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 25 | DLLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 23 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 15 | |
| 20 | Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |