Carlisle vs Southend Prediction - September 12, 2026

National LeagueEnglandFull time
Carlisle
2:2
Southend
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.21
Draw3.70price rising, opened at 3.42
Away2.88price rising, opened at 2.82

Market move since Sep 9. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15
Under 1.55.00price rising, opened at 4.30
Over 2.51.60
Under 2.52.25price rising, opened at 2.19
Over 3.52.40price falling, opened at 2.43
Under 3.51.53price rising, opened at 1.44
Both teams to score
Yes1.54price rising, opened at 1.50
No2.38
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.93price rising, opened at 1.91
Away +0.251.88price rising, opened at 1.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Carlisle vs Southend?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Carlisle and Southend average 4.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.0%Projected
  2. 2-18.9%Alternative
  3. 1-27.8%
  4. 1-07.7%
  5. 0-16.8%

Top five combined: 42.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCarlislexG1.62
AwaySouthendxG1.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.8%
7.7%
6.2%
3.4%
1.4%
0.4%
0.2%
1
6.8%
11%
8.9%
4.8%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
2
4.8%
7.8%
6.3%
3.4%
1.4%
0.4%
0.2%
3
2.3%
3.7%
3.0%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.8%
1.3%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.9%39.1% No
Over 1.5 80.7%19.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 58.6%41.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 36.2%63.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Carlisle win and over 2.5 goals28.2%
Carlisle win and both teams score22.9%
Southend win and over 2.5 goals22.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Carlisle or draw66.2%
Southend or draw57.8%
Either team wins76.0%
Draw no bet: Carlisle55.5%
Draw no bet: Southend44.5%
Carlisle win to nil19.3%
Southend win to nil15.1%
Team goals
Carlisle to score80.2%
Southend to score76.0%
Carlisle over 1.5 goals48.1%
Southend over 1.5 goals41.7%
Carlisle clean sheet24.0%
Southend clean sheet19.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.83

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Carlisle vs Southend
Head to Head

Head to Head

Carlisle vs Southend: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 7, 2026Carlisle2 - 2Southend
November 8, 2025Southend1 - 2Carlisle
League Table

League Table

National LeagueEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16510168+816
27421127+514
36411159+613
46411128+413
56402108+212
6640276+112
76321139+411
86321128+411
9632174+311
10631287+110
11630378-19
12730456-19
136303710-39
1462221310+38
1562138807
1662131112-17
176204910-16
18612389-15
1961231216-45
206123711-45
216114812-44
22611459-44
236114410-64
246015617-111
Relegation
National League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Boreham Wood6510168816
2Kidderminster Harriers7421127514
3Harrogate Town6411159613
4Southend6411128413
5AFC Hornchurch6402108212
6Sutton United640276112
7AFC Fylde6321139411
8Yeovil Town6321128411
9Aldershot Town632174311
10Eastleigh631287110
11Altrincham630378-19
12Hartlepool730456-19
13Forest Green6303710-39
14Carlisle6222131038
15Boston United62138807
16Worthing62131112-17
17FC Halifax Town6204910-16
18Barrow612389-15
19Tamworth61231216-45
20Wealdstone6123711-45
21Scunthorpe6114812-44
22Gateshead611459-44
23Woking6114410-64
24Solihull Moors6015617-111