Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction - September 11, 2026
Alternative:1-2
Goals: Over 1.51.53
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Newell's Old Boys are fighting relegation while Velez Sarsfield chase a continental qualification spot, and that gap in what is at stake is the backbone of Over 1.5 goals when the two meet on 11 September, a bet priced at 1.53 and rated 66 percent by Superior's model.
Two different fights, one open game
Newell's need goals and points to pull clear of the drop zone, and that urgency has produced a stretch of matches that rarely stay tight, including two wins by a scoreline that cleared this line comfortably. Velez arrive with their own incentive to keep pushing forward, sitting in the middle of the qualification picture with too much still to play for to sit back.
The goalless draw that would break it
Velez have drawn four of their last five without scoring more than once in three of those games, and a repeat of that pattern combined with a quiet night from Newell's would leave this at 0-0 or 1-0, the only two scorelines that beat Over 1.5. That mutual caution is the live risk here.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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More Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield | 1 - 1 | Newells Old Boys |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +14 | 34 | ||
| 1 | 16 | +12 | 31 | ||
| 2 | 16 | +10 | 29 | ||
| 2 | 16 | +13 | 30 | ||
| 3 | 16 | +6 | 28 | ||
| 3 | 16 | +4 | 29 | ||
| 4 | 16 | +4 | 28 | ||
| 4 | 16 | +4 | 26 | ||
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 26 | ||
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 24 | ||
| 6 | 16 | +3 | 24 | ||
| 6 | 16 | 0 | 26 | ||
| 7 | 16 | +4 | 22 | ||
| 7 | 16 | 0 | 22 | ||
| 7 | 16 | 0 | 22 | ||
| 8 | 16 | +2 | 21 | ||
| 8 | 16 | +4 | 21 | ||
| 9 | 16 | 0 | 21 | ||
| 9 | 16 | 0 | 21 | ||
| 10 | 16 | -3 | 19 | ||
| 10 | 16 | +3 | 20 | ||
| 11 | 16 | -7 | 19 | ||
| 11 | 16 | -8 | 19 | ||
| 12 | 16 | -2 | 18 | ||
| 12 | 16 | -5 | 16 | ||
| 13 | 16 | -5 | 14 | ||
| 13 | 16 | -10 | 16 | ||
| 14 | 16 | -12 | 15 | ||
| 14 | 16 | -13 | 8 | ||
| 15 | 16 | -7 | 11 | ||
| 15 | 16 | -19 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | |
| 1 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | |
| 3 | Argentinos Juniors | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 | |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 | |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 | |
| 6 | Gimnasia La Plata | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 | |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 | |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 7 | San Lorenzo de Almagro | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 | |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 | |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 | |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 | |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 | |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 | |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 | |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 | |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
